St Kilda Saints vs. Carlton Blues prediction: Blues favored to win Sunday's AFL Round 22 matchup [8/9/2026]

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Written by Damien Souness

Get St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues predictions for AFL Sunday.

St Kilda Saints-Carlton Blues Predictions and Game Preview.
St Kilda Saints vs. Carlton Blues AFL prediction for Sunday, August 9, 2026.

The St Kilda Saints will square off with the Carlton Blues in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, starting at 5:20 AM ET.

Dimers' advanced AFL model projects the Blues as the most likely winner in this Blues vs. Saints prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Saints vs. Blues prediction: Who will win Round 22 game?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's AFL matchup between the Blues and Saints, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Blues a 52.0% chance of beating the Saints.

According to our model, the Saints (+1.5) have a 50.2% chance of covering the spread, while the 173.5-point over/under has a 51.2% chance of staying under,.

 

Carlton vs. St Kilda odds

We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Moneyline: Blues @ -115 via DraftKings
  • Total: Under 173.5 @ -115 via DraftKings

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Blues vs. Saints picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Blues -1.5 @ -105 via DraftKings
  • Moneyline: Blues @ -115 via DraftKings
  • Total: Under 173.5 @ -115 via DraftKings According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 173.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Saints vs. Blues game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's Australian rules football action between the Saints and Blues at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:20 AM ET.

  • Who: Carlton Blues vs. St Kilda Saints
  • Date: Sunday, August 9, 2026
  • Time: 5:20 AM ET/2:20AM PT
  • Venue: Marvel Stadium

The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.

Conclusion

We predict the Blues, with a 52.0% win probability, will likely beat the Saints in Sunday's AFL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Experience Officer

Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.

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