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Read Article Fremantle Dockers vs. Adelaide Crows prediction: Dockers favored to win Friday's AFL Round 23 matchup [8/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Fremantle Dockers vs Adelaide Crows predictions for AFL Friday.
The Fremantle Dockers will face the Adelaide Crows in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Optus Stadium on Friday, commencing at 6:10 AM ET.
Dimers' advanced AFL model projects the Dockers as the most likely winner in this Crows vs. Dockers prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Dockers vs. Crows prediction: Who will win Round 23 game?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's AFL matchup between the Crows and Dockers, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Dockers a 75.5% chance of defeating the Crows.
According to our model, the Crows (+23.5) have a 51.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 167.5-point over/under has a 50.9% chance of staying under,.
Adelaide vs. Fremantle odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Crows +275, Dockers -385
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Crows vs. Dockers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Crows +23.5 @ -115 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Crows @ +275 via DraftKings
- Total: Under 167.5 @ -115 via DraftKings
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 167.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Dockers vs. Crows game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football matchup between the Dockers and Crows at Optus Stadium is scheduled to commence at 6:10 AM ET.
- Who: Adelaide Crows vs. Fremantle Dockers
- Date: Friday, August 14, 2026
- Time: 6:10 AM ET/3:10AM PT
- Venue: Optus Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Dockers, with a 75.5% win probability, will likely beat the Crows in Friday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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