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World Series Power Rankings see Dodgers Land as Consensus No. 1, Yankees With Value
As MLB resumes play after the All-Star Break, betting expert Dave Garofolo ranks the Dimers model's top five World Series contenders and stack them up against the sportsbook odds.

The 2025 MLB season resumes on Friday, July 18 after an exciting All-Star Break that saw the current Home Run King crowned Derby champ, an all-time All-Star contest that came down to an epic swing-off, punctuated by a trio of Kyle Schwarber home runs to win it.
While the All-Star festivities are always fun and MLB owns the best All-Star events of the major sports, we're very excited to get back to our daily wagers, from home run picks to our Best MLB Bets and MLB Parlays.
As we prepare for the Boys of Summer to return to the field, we're taking a look at the five teams our MLB Futures model says have the best chance to win it all, comparing each team to the World Series odds across all sportsbook apps.
While there is some consensus between the DimersBOT and the sportsbooks, we may just uncover some value along the way.
Let's dig in.
1. Los Angeles Dodgers
Dimers rank: #1
Sportsbook rank: #1
Win probability: 20.7%
Best odds: +255 on DraftKings
The Dodgers hold the best overall odds according to both Dimers and sportsbooks, and their performance validates it, though they entered the break on 3-7 slump. Sitting at 58–39, they lead the NL West by 5.5 games, and hold the second-best record in all of MLB. Despite injuries to key arms like Blake Snell and Tyler Glasnow, LA has absorbed the blows well, in part thanks to timely returns—Glasnow back in rotation, Snell nearing a full rehab.
However, they’re entering the stretch with important concerns: Max Muncy remains out on the 10-day IL (bone bruise), Roki Sasaki and Enrique Hernandez are sidelined, and the bullpen has struggled at times, allowing a some of the most home runs in MLB.
Still, they retain top spot in the summer trade buzz, and their depth allows them to be both buyers and improvers come the deadline. With added pitching and reinforcements at third base on the horizon, the Dodgers are firmly positioned to drive for their second straight title and third since breaking their 30+-year drought in 2020.
2. New York Yankees
Dimers rank: #2
Sportsbook rank: #4
Win probability: 11.2%
Best odds: +900 on bet365
The Yankees are statistically one of the top teams in the AL East—with a solid 53–43 record, a +111 run differential (second-best in baseball) and the presumptive AL MVP. But their stock dips with a “bumpy” stretch just before the break—multiple lengthy losing streaks, recent error-prone play, and inconsistency throughout June and July after a scorching start.
General Manager Brian Cashman is actively targeting pitching upgrades and potentially an infielder, given key injuries like losing Gerrit Cole preseason to Tommy John surgery, and Clarke Schmidt on the IL. With elite talent such as Aaron Judge and veteran depth in Paul Goldschmidt and Giancarlo Stanton, the Yanks are loaded—but whether they can raise focus and shore up pitching depth will determine whether they match their Dimers ranking (#2) or follow sportsbooks' more conservative placement.
If you're going after the Yankees, make sure you take their best odds at bet365 for the value - they're as low as +650 on DraftKings and Dimers' fair odds would be +790. Plus, new users can score a $150 bet365 bonus code by betting just $5 on the Yankees to win it all.
3. Philadelphia Phillies
Dimers rank: #3
Sportsbook rank: #4
Win probability: 7.8%
Best odds: +850 on DraftKings
The Phillies return post-break to a narrow 0.5 game lead over the Mets in the NL East, boasting a strong 55–41 mark. They have regained momentum from earlier struggles, reclaiming first place with a key series win over New York, but this remains a tightly-locked contest.
Despite the offense firing on all cylinders, the bullpen remains a glaring weakness. They have the 8th-worst bullpen ERA in the bigs, sorely missing reliever Jose Alvarado, serving an 80-game suspension for using a banned substance. And last postseason, Philly relievers surrendered 17 runs in just under 13 innings. Needless to say, bullpen depth is a major deadline priority.
If they can shore up late-game arms, their alignment in the Dimers and sportsbooks becomes even more dangerous. As rivals close in, Philadelphia’s depth and front-office moves could tip the scales.
Philadelphia is one team the books are largely in agreement on; they range form +800 to +850 everywhere.
4. New York Mets
Dimers rank: #4
Sportsbook rank: #7
Win probability: 7.0%
Best odds: +1300 on FanDuel
As mentioned, the Mets are perched just half a game behind the Phillies at 55–42, hotly contesting the NL East crown.
Their first half was a mix of strong play and a patch or two of inconsistency, but they remain firmly in the playoff hunt, powered by their $765 million man, Juan Soto, who's on a tear.
If New York can tighten late-game execution and avoid further swoons, they’ll challenge Philadelphia head-to-head. The tight divisional race and upgraded roster potential justify their Dimers placement (#4), yet sportsbooks’ skepticism (+1300 odds) opens up some fair value.
5. Detroit Tigers
Dimers rank: #5
Sportsbook rank: #3
Win probability: 6.4%
Best odds: +700 on DraftKings
Detroit leads the AL Central and all of MLB with a surprising 59–38 mark, outpacing perennial favorites and posting the best record in baseball.
Despite playing in a division with four teams under .500, sportsbooks treat them as a top-tier contender at +700, ahead of the Phillies, Mets, and Yankees in betting lines.
Built on breakout stars like Tarik Skubal, Riley Greene and Kerry Carpenter, strong clubhouse chemistry, and a deep bullpen, the Tigers are riding high. If they hold form, their odds suggest they're a real threat—but their lower Dimers rank reflects lesser postseason pedigree and a need to prove they can handle playoff-level pressure after last year's ALDS exit in 2024.
Detroit’s balancing act between sustaining their upward momentum and keeping their eyes on the prize makes them an exciting contender to watch or back, even if the value isn't quite there.
Takeaway: Dodgers Remain Favorite, But Value Lies in the New York Clubs
As MLB reconvenes, all five of these clubs are locked into the postseason chase.
The Dodgers remain the statistical favorites, while the Yankees and Mets occupy the chase group with some value—both with plenty of talent, yet clear needs at the deadline.
The Mets loom as a tight-division threat, hot on the heels of fellow World Series contender Philadelphia, and the Tigers’ rapid ascent into the upper echelon of clubs demands attention, though the Dimers' model doesn't like the value.
Over the next weeks, trade moves (bullpen arms, infielders), injury comebacks and clutch play will determine who tightens the race and who fades. For now, the Dimers model and sportsbooks align on a few fronts—especially regarding LA—but the gap between potential and delivery remains narrow.
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