World Cup soccer odds today: Wednesday's betting cheat sheet [July 1]

The soccer World Cup 2026 knockout Round of 32 stage continues with three more sudden death matches on today's World Cup schedule, and this betting odds preview is designed to help you navigate Wednesday's matches using Dimers' data-driven World Cup predictions on July 1.

Kicking things off today is the match between England and Congo DR at 12pm, then it's Senegal vs. Belgium at 4pm, before the nightshift blockbuster between USA and Bosnia and Herzegovina in primetime at 8pm.

Thanks to DraftKings Sportsbook, we've broken down each of Wednesday's Round of 32 matchups below in our World Cup betting preview, with everything you need to know about the teams, the players, the probabilities, the most likely score lines, as well as the sharpest player props for Wednesday's three World Cup fixtures.

Today's World Cup 2026 odds - July 1

Dimers' World Cup 2026 odds refer to the forecasts and statistical projections made by our team of data scientists regarding the outcomes of not only the three matches on Wednesday, July 1, but also the ultimate winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. These predictions for the 2026 World Cup are generated by highly sophisticated machine learning models that analyze historical odds, data sets, player-specific performance metrics, and team-level compositions that delivered some outstanding betting results.

England vs. Congo DR odds, picks and predictions

Kickoff: July 1, 12:00pm (ET)

The single-elimination knockout stage rolls on with a compelling cross-continental matchup in the Round of 32 between England and Congo DR. England enters the elimination bracket with plenty of confidence after a highly controlled group-stage performance, picking up two wins and a draw to secure the top spot in Group L. DR Congo, by contrast, had a far more stressful path to navigate, ultimately advancing as one of the resilient third-place wild card survivors out of Group K with a balanced record of one win, one loss, and one draw.

The metrics place the Three Lions as a commanding front-runner to secure passage to the Round of 16. Here is the direct look at the moneyline splits, total goals market expectation, and the most probable exact scorelines.

Moneyline

The straight-up winner market heavily backs an English victory within regular time, leaving the Central African underdogs with a minimal statistical window to trigger a major knockout surprise or force extra time:

• England to win: 74.6%
• Draw: 18.6%
• Congo DR to win: 6.8%

Total goals market (Over/Under 2.5)

Reflecting the immense pressure of single-elimination football and DR Congo’s expected strategy to sit back and maintain a compact defensive block, the model heavily leans toward a lower-scoring affair that stays below the standard line:

• Under 2.5 goals: 57.9%
• Over 2.5 goals: 42.1%

Most likely exact scores

The exact scoreline distribution underscores a clear expectation of a multi-goal victory or a tight shutout for the favorites, with clean-sheet patterns completely dominating the highest individual probabilities:

• England 1-0 Congo DR: 18.3%
• England 2-0 Congo DR: 17.9%
• England 3-0 Congo DR: 11.6%
• England 0-0 Draw: 9.4%
• England 1-1 Draw: 7.6%

Summary: England enters this knockout clash as a dominant 74.4% front-runner. Because their straight regular-time winner price offers very limited betting return on its own, utilizing alternative markets or combination plays is the smartest approach. Given the model's strong 57.9% confidence in Under 2.5 total match goals and the clear preference for low-scoring clean sheets in the score data—where the 1-0 and 2-0 margins sit right at the top—pairing an England victory with Under 2.5 total match goals or backing England to win to nil provides a highly supported and data-backed path.

Senegal vs. Belgium odds, picks and predictions

Kickoff: July 1, 4pm (ET)

This one is another competitive, cross-continental clash in the Round of 32. Belgium heads into the match after successfully navigating a tight path to finish at the top of Group G, relying on their standard tactical control to grind out two draws and a win. Senegal, meanwhile, maps their way into the elimination bracket as one of the resilient third-place wild card survivors from Group I, bouncing back from two tough initial defeats to secure a crucial win on the final matchday.

The metrics install the Red Devils as the slight front-runner to advance, though the high draw percentage signals a tightly contested, tactical battle. Here is a direct breakdown of the moneyline percentages, total goals market, and top projected scorelines.

Moneyline

The straight-up winner market leans toward a Belgium victory within regulation time, though the combined probability of a draw sending the tie to extra time or a Senegal upset accounts for over half of the distribution:

• Belgium to win: 46.2%
• Senegal to win: 28.3%
• Draw: 25.6%

Total goals market (Over/Under 2.5)

Reflecting the enormous stakes of single-elimination tournament football, the model anticipates a highly disciplined, safety-first environment, leaning slightly toward a lower-scoring affair that stays under the line:

• Under 2.5 goals: 50.7%
• Over 2.5 goals: 49.3%

Most likely exact scores

The exact scoreline distribution underscores a game of ultra-thin margins, where low-scoring draws or narrow single-goal decisions carry the highest statistical probabilities:

• Belgium 1-1 Senegal: 12.2%
• Belgium 1-0 Senegal: 10.8%
• Belgium 2-1 Senegal: 9.2%
• Belgium 2-0 Senegal: 8.2%
• Belgium 0-1 Senegal: 8.0%

Summary: Belgium enters this knockout fixture as a 46.2% favorite in what shapes up to be a tactical battle. Because regular-time moneylines carry considerable volatility and the model flags a 1-1 deadlock as the single most probable outcome (12.2%), backing a straight winner lacks an ideal risk-to-reward ratio. Given the close 50.7% lean toward a lower score alongside prominent scripts like 1-1 and 1-0, taking Belgium or Draw on the Double Chance market paired with an alt line if Under 3.5 total match goals builds a logical and data-supported angle.

USA vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina odds, picks and predictions

Kickoff: July 1, 8pm (ET)

The knockout phase shifts into primetime as a massive home television audience prepares to tune in for a high-stakes Round of 32 showdown. The United States marches into the elimination bracket with strong momentum, having captured the top spot in Group D through a productive opening stage (2 wins, 1 loss). Bosnia and Herzegovina enter the arena as battle-tested survivors, having successfully navigated their way through Group B as a third-place wild card qualifier on the back of a balanced one-win, one-loss, and one-draw campaign.

The projections position the Stars and Stripes as a commanding front-runner to secure passage to the Round of 16, expecting an assertive showing on home soil. Here is the direct look at the moneyline splits, total goals lines, and top exact scores.

Moneyline

The straight-up winner market heavily backs a United States victory inside regulation time, leaving the European underdogs with a tight statistical window to trigger a primetime shock or force extra time:

• United States to win: 69.5%
• Draw: 18.4%
• Bosnia and Herzegovina to win: 12.2%

Total goals market (Over/Under 2.5)

Reflecting the host nation's offensive capabilities balanced against the clinical tension of a single-elimination environment, the algorithm leans toward a relatively fluid match that clears the standard total goals threshold:

• Over 2.5 goals: 57.8%
• Under 2.5 goals: 42.2%

Mostl likely exact scores

The exact scoreline distribution reflects the home side's status as a definitive favorite, heavily leaning toward multi-goal victories or controlled shutouts for the front-runners:

• United States 2-0 Bosnia: 12.0%
• United States 1-0 Bosnia: 10.9%
• United States 2-1 Bosnia: 9.6%
• United States 3-0 Bosnia: 8.9%
• United States 1-1 Draw: 8.7%

Summary: The United States enters this primetime knockout clash as a clear 69.5% favorite. Because a straight play on the regular-time moneyline requires a steep premium, targeting combination markets is your best angle to find betting value. Given the model's 57.8% confidence in Over 2.5 total match goals and the heavy statistical preference for multi-goal American wins—where the 2-0, 2-1, and 3-0 results lead the data—pairing a United States victory with an alt line of Over 1.5 total match goals or backing the United States to win and Over 2.5 goals aligns cleanly with the forecast.