Belgium vs. Senegal prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Round of 32]
Get Belgium vs Senegal predictions for World Cup 2026 Wednesday.
Belgium will square off with Senegal in the round of 32 of the World Cup 2026 at Lumen Field on Wednesday, beginning at 4:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced World Cup 2026 model predicts Belgium as the most likely winner of the Belgium vs. Senegal game.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Belgium vs. Senegal prediction: Who will win and advance to the Round of 16?
Our leading predictive model suggests a 46.2% chance of Belgium winning, a 28.3% chance for Senegal, and a 25.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 50.7% chance of staying under, with a 52.8% likelihood that both teams score. In the win to nil market, Belgium holds a 25.2% probability to win without conceding, with Senegal given a 14.8% chance.
For bettors looking to cover multiple outcomes, the most likely double chance result is a win for either Belgium or Senegal at 74.4%.
Note that these odds cover 90 minutes of regulation time. If you're used to NBA markets that include overtime, remember that World Cup bets exclude extra time unless the specific market says so.
Senegal vs. Belgium odds
We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Belgium | Senegal | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +115 | +270 | +230 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -102 | -118 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Belgium vs. Senegal picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Senegal @ +270 via FanDuel
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -102 via BetMGM
- Win to Nil: Senegal @ +475 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: Belgium or Senegal @ -290 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: No @ +114 via FanDuel
According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Senegal to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge provided on Senegal's odds provide the best value right now.
Belgium vs. Senegal: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Belgium 1-1 Senegal | 12.2% |
| Belgium 1-0 Senegal | 10.8% |
| Belgium 2-1 Senegal | 9.2% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 52.8% chance of both Belgium and Senegal finding the net and a 47.2% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Belgium vs. Senegal player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Wednesday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Belgium-Senegal:
Belgium
- Charles De Ketelaere: 20.2% probability
- Kevin De Bruyne: 18.7% probability
- Leandro Trossard: 18.4% probability
- Jeremy Doku: 16.5% probability
- Hans Vanaken: 13.6% probability
Senegal
- Ismaila Sarr: 17.9% probability
- Sadio Mane: 17.0% probability
- Iliman Ndiaye: 14.2% probability
- Pape Gueye: 9.2% probability
- Lamine Camara: 7.3% probability
Belgium vs. Senegal game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's soccer World Cup action between Belgium and Senegal at Lumen Field is scheduled to begin at 4:00 PM ET.
- Who: Belgium vs. Senegal
- Date: Wednesday, July 1, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Venue: Lumen Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Belgium has a 46.2% win probability on Wednesday, Senegal has a 28.3% win probability, and there is a 25.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
