Three ways to bet on USMNT before USA vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina in World Cup

Bet: USA ML & Over 2.5 goals (+102)

The USMNT enter Wednesday's Round of 32 clash as heavy favorites, priced around -270 with a 69.8% chance to win on the 90-minute moneyline and -750 to advance, against a Bosnia & Herzegovina side that needed a third-place finish in Group B just to qualify for the knockout stage.

The Over/Under is set at 2.5, with a 57.2% probability of going over, and is our best standalone bet in the match.

The Americans have already set a new all-time record for their most goals scored in a single tournament with 8, a pace that should continue given the presence of both Christian Pulisic and Folarin Balogun starting for the first time since the group stage opener.

On the other side, Bosnia and Herzegovina didn't keep a single clean sheet in Group B, conceding six goals while also putting up five of their own.

With a rested USA attack facing an opponent predicted to be playing from behind, the combination of a USA win and a high-scoring affair makes a way to back the favorite to win comfortably without laying the heavy moneyline juice alone.

Bet: Christian Pulisic and Folarin Balogun each to score (+353)

In his World Cup debut, Folarin Balogun has been the USMNT's most dangerous weapon through the leading the squad as the only player with two goals so far.

Pulisic, meanwhile, is still searching for his first goal of the tournament after a calf injury disrupted his group stage, with just 77 minutes on the pitch over three contests, having missed the Australia match entirely before subbing in for 32 minutes in the loss to Türkiye, now appearing fully healthy.

Balogun is our top-projected goalscorer in the match at 35.3%, followed by Pulisic at 29.9%, before the probabilities dip into the high teens for the USMNT.

Bet: USA to win in extra time (+850)

What if the USA win the game, but fail to seal the deal in regular time?

While the USMNT are firm favorites (-270 ML, -700 to advance), we still identify a nearly 1-in-5 chance of a draw at 90 minutes at an 18.3% probability.

That opens up the possibility of a team to win in extra time or on penalty kicks, which we saw twice in Monday's first full slate of knockout round matches, with all three matches nearly going to extra time.

Bosnia & Herzegovina have a few dangerous young attackers to watch, plus a wily veteran scorer in Edin Dzeko, and showed their ability to keep things level against a superior opponent in their 1-1 draw with Canada.

If the Americans fail to find an early breakthrough and the match does go the distance, backing USA to close it out in extra time at +850 is a clever way to capture the favorite's quality at a more unlikely, but far more palatable price than their moneyline.

Avoid the possibility of a bad beat in extra time by taking either team to win in the extra 30 minutes at +650.

USA vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina picks

To round up the data above, here are three ways to bet on the USMNT by applying the Dimers data in different markets:

⚽ USA win & Over 2.5 (+102)

⚽ Pulisic & Balogun goalscorer parlay (+353)

⚽ USA win in extra time (+850)

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