World Cup soccer odds today: Tuesday's betting cheat sheet [June 30]

The soccer World Cup 2026 Round of 32 continues with three more sudden death matches on today's World Cup schedule, and this betting odds preview is designed to help you navigate Tuesday's matches using Dimers' data-driven World Cup predictions on June 30.

Kicking things off today is the match between Norway and Ivory Coast at 1pm, then it's France and Sweden at 5pm, before the nightshift match between Ecuador and Mexico at 9pm.

Thanks to DraftKings Sportsbook, we've broken down each of Tuesday's Round of 32 matchups below in our World Cup betting preview, with everything you need to know about the teams, the players, the probabilities, the most likely score lines, as well as the sharpest player props for Tuesday's three World Cup fixtures.

Today's World Cup 2026 odds - June 30

Dimers' World Cup 2026 odds refer to the forecasts and statistical projections made by our team of data scientists regarding the outcomes of not only the three matches on Tuesday, June 30, but also the ultimate winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. These predictions for the 2026 World Cup are generated by highly sophisticated machine learning models that analyze historical odds, data sets, player-specific performance metrics, and team-level compositions that delivered some outstanding betting results.

Norway vs. Ivory Coast odds, picks and predictions

Kickoff: June 30, 1:00pm (ET)

The single-elimination knockout phase rolls on with a fascinating, evenly matched showdown in the Round of 32 between Norway and Ivory Coast. Both teams navigate their way into the elimination bracket after identical group-stage campaigns, each securing 2 wins and 1 loss. Norway locked down their knockout spot as the high-scoring runners-up of Group I behind France, while Côte d'Ivoire handled their business to advance as the runners-up of Group E behind the now-eliminated Germany.

The metrics give Norway the edge to advance, but the close percentage splits indicate a highly competitive affair with plenty of attacking intent. Here is the direct breakdown of the moneyline probabilities, goal totals, and top exact scorelines.

Moneyline

The straight-up winner market leans toward a Norwegian victory within regulation time, though the combined probability of a draw sending the tie to extra time or a Les Éléphants victory covers over half of the board:

• Norway to win: 46.9%
• Côte d'Ivoire to win: 28.3%
• Draw: 24.8%

Total Goals Market (Over/Under 2.5)

Reflecting the explosive attacking firepower present on both rosters and their relatively open styles during the group stage, the model signals an active scoreboard, leaning toward the over on the standard line:

• Over 2.5 goals: 52.6%
• Under 2.5 goals: 47.4%

Most Likely Exact Scores

The exact scoreline distribution underscores a dynamic encounter where a scoring deadlock or narrow, single-goal margins dominate individual expectations:

• Côte d'Ivoire 1-1 Norway: 11.7%
• Côte d'Ivoire 0-1 Norway: 9.9%
• Côte d'Ivoire 1-2 Norway: 9.4%
• Côte d'Ivoire 0-2 Norway: 7.9%
• Côte d'Ivoire 1-0 Norway: 7.3%

Summary: Norway enters this knockout clash as a 46.9% favorite in a match expected to feature offensive action. Because the moneylines are quite tight and the model flags a 1-1 draw as the single most probable regular-time outcome (11.7%), taking a straight side carries significant risk. Given the model's 52.6% confidence in Over 2.5 total goals alongside active score projections like 1-1 and 2-1, backing Both Teams to Score (BTTS) or taking Norway or Draw on the Double Chance market paired with Over 1.5 total match goals builds a highly logical and data-supported angle.

France vs. Sweden odds, picks and predictions

Kickoff: June 30, 5pm (ET)

Today's single-elimination knockout stage hits top gear with a heavily lopsided continental fixture following the Norway vs. Côte d'Ivoire opener. France cruises into the Round of 32 looking like a true tournament juggernaut, having completed a perfect group stage campaign with three straight victories to capture the crown in Group I. Sweden, by contrast, had a far more turbulent journey, scraping their way into the elimination bracket as a resilient third-place wild card qualifier out of Group F.

The probabilities install Les Bleus as overwhelming favorites to secure passage to the Round of 16, forecasting a highly active, multi-goal match. Here is a look at the moneyline percentages, goal lines, and top exact scores.

Moneyline

The straight-up winner market leaves little room for doubt, heavily backing a French victory in regular time and giving the Scandinavian underdogs a minimal mathematical window to trigger a shock result:

• France to win: 76.6%
• Draw: 14.4%
• Sweden to win: 9.0%

Total Goals Market (Over/Under 2.5)

Reflecting France's clinical attacking depth and the likelihood of an open game as Sweden is forced to weather an early storm, the model heavily favors a high-scoring encounter that clears the standard total goals threshold:

• Over 2.5 goals: 67.6%
• Under 2.5 goals: 32.4%

Most Likely Exact Scores

The exact scoreline distribution reflects France's massive superiority, heavily favoring multi-goal outcomes and prominent clean sheets for the front-runners:

• France 2-0 Sweden: 10.9%
• France 3-0 Sweden: 9.7%
• France 2-1 Sweden: 8.9%
• France 1-0 Sweden: 8.2%
• France 3-1 Sweden: 7.9%

Summary: France enters this knockout clash as a dominant 76.6% front-runner. Because their straight regular-time moneyline price offers zero betting value on its own, target alternative combinations to extract value. Given the model's strong 67.6% confidence in Over 2.5 total match goals and the clear preference for multi-goal wins in the score data—where a 2-0, 3-0, or 2-1 margin sits at the forefront—pairing a France victory with Over 1.5 total match goals looks like the most logical path.

Mexico vs. Ecuador odds, picks and predictions

Kickoff: June 30, 9pm (ET)

The Round of 32 knockout action rolls on with a fascinating Copa América-flavored showdown following the conclusion of the France vs. Sweden matchup. Mexico storms into the single-elimination phase full of confidence after entirely dominating Group A, picking up three consecutive victories to secure the top spot. Ecuador, by contrast, had a far more stressful path, narrowly scraping through as a third-place wild card qualifier out of Group E after trading results with a win, a loss, and a draw.

The predictions award El Tri the upper hand to secure a spot in the Round of 16, forecasting an incredibly tight, low-scoring chess match. Here is the direct look at the moneyline splits, heavily skewed goal totals, and top exact scores.

Moneyline

The straight-up winner market leans toward a Mexican victory within regulation time, though the high draw percentage signals that oddsmakers view a regular-time deadlock as a highly probable path:

• Mexico to win: 43.0%
• Draw: 32.1%
• Ecuador to win: 24.9%

Total Goals Market (Over/Under 2.5)

Reflecting Ecuador's cagey defensive identity and the immense pressure of single-elimination football, the model aggressively targets a low-scoring script, heavily backing the under on the standard line:

• Under 2.5 goals: 72.6%
• Over 2.5 goals: 27.4%

Most Likely Exact Scores

The exact scoreline distribution underscores a game of ultra-thin margins, where low-scoring stalemates or narrow single-goal decisions carry the highest statistical probabilities:

• Mexico 1-0 Ecuador: 17.5%
• Mexico 0-0 Ecuador: 16.3%
• Mexico 1-1 Ecuador: 13.0%
• Mexico 0-1 Ecuador: 12.1%
• Mexico 2-0 Ecuador: 9.4%

Summary: Mexico enters this knockout opener as a 43.0% favorite. However, because the model places massive emphasis on a slightly defensive environment—flagging an high 72.6% probability on Under 2.5 total goals—taking a straight regular-time side carries a heavy premium. Given that the 1-0 win, 0-0 draw, and 1-1 deadlock represent the lion's share of expected outcomes, backing Under 2.5 total match goals represents a secure foundation, while pairing Mexico or Draw on the Double Chance market with Under 2.5 match goals aligns beautifully with the data.