May 25, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Monday, May 25, 2026
Read Article WNBA player props today: Memorial Day best props include Carla Leite [5/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get WNBA player props today with projections for Monday's games.
Dimers' WNBA props are live for Memorial Day, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Carla Leite, Kayla Thornton and Veronica Burton.
Our WNBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Sun vs. Valkyries and Fire vs. Liberty, to surface the best WNBA player prop bets across the market.
List of WNBA prop bets for Monday, 5/25
Below are the top ten WNBA player props for May 25, ranked by probability.
Carla Leite under 15.5 points scored (-120)
- Edge: 3.1%
- Probability: 57.6%
- Projection: 11.8
- Game: Fire vs. Liberty (8:00PM ET)
Our model has found value on Portland's Carla Leite under 15.5 points scored. A probability of 57.6% gives this play an edge of 3.1% at -120 odds.
Kayla Thornton over 4.5 rebounds (-125)
- Edge: 1.6%
- Probability: 57.2%
- Projection: 5.8
- Game: Sun vs. Valkyries (10:00PM ET)
Kayla Thornton’s rebounds prop shows a 1.6% edge at -125 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 5.8 rebounds on the over 4.5 line.
Veronica Burton over 3.5 rebounds (+118)
- Edge: 10.9%
- Probability: 56.7%
- Projection: 4.7
- Game: Sun vs. Valkyries (10:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Veronica Burton over 3.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 56.7% probability and a 10.9% edge at +118.
Gabby Williams under 13.5 points scored (-104)
- Edge: 2.9%
- Probability: 53.9%
- Projection: 11.7
- Game: Sun vs. Valkyries (10:00PM ET)
Our model projects Gabby Williams to put up 11.7 points scored today, creating an edge of 2.9% on the under 13.5 line at -104 odds.
Veronica Burton under 14.5 points scored (-108)
- Edge: 1.3%
- Probability: 53.2%
- Projection: 13.0
- Game: Sun vs. Valkyries (10:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Veronica Burton under 14.5 points scored for Golden State, showing an edge of 1.3% at -108 odds.
Veronica Burton under 6.5 assists (+118)
- Edge: 3.6%
- Probability: 49.5%
- Projection: 6.6
- Game: Sun vs. Valkyries (10:00PM ET)
Veronica Burton’s assists prop shows an edge of 3.6% at +118 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 6.6 today.
Gabby Williams to score first basket (+1000)
- Edge: 1.2%
- Probability: 10.3%
- Game: Sun vs. Valkyries (10:00PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Gabby Williams to score first basket for Golden State, with a 10.3% probability and a 1.2% edge at +1000 odds.
Tiffany Hayes to score first basket (+1000)
- Edge: 1.0%
- Probability: 10.1%
- Game: Sun vs. Valkyries (10:00PM ET)
The data shows value on Tiffany Hayes to score first basket, supported by a 10.1% probability at +1000 odds and an edge of 1.0%.
Emily Engstler to score first basket (+1100)
- Edge: 0.8%
- Probability: 9.1%
- Game: Fire vs. Liberty (8:00PM ET)
A 0.8% edge on the to score first basket line makes Emily Engstler a value play in Fire vs. Liberty, supported by a 9.1% probability at +1100 odds.
Luisa Geiselsoder to score first basket (+1300)
- Edge: 0.1%
- Probability: 7.3%
- Game: Fire vs. Liberty (8:00PM ET)
Simulations show value on Luisa Geiselsoder to score first basket here, with a 7.3% probability and 0.1% edge at +1300 odds.
WNBA player prop summary: Monday, May 25, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:22AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire vs. Liberty | Carla Leite under 15.5 points scored | -120 @ FanDuel | 3.1% | 57.6% |
| Sun vs. Valkyries | Kayla Thornton over 4.5 rebounds | -125 @ Fanatics | 1.6% | 57.2% |
| Sun vs. Valkyries | Veronica Burton over 3.5 rebounds | +118 @ DraftKings | 2.9% | 53.9% |
| Sun vs. Valkyries | Gabby Williams under 13.5 points scored | -104 @ DraftKings | 2.9% | 53.9% |
| Sun vs. Valkyries | Veronica Burton under 14.5 points scored | -108 @ FanDuel | 1.3% | 53.2% |
| Sun vs. Valkyries | Veronica Burton under 6.5 assists | +118 @ FanDuel | 3.6% | 49.5% |
| Sun vs. Valkyries | Gabby Williams to score first basket | +1000 @ FanDuel | 1.2% | 10.3% |
| Sun vs. Valkyries | Tiffany Hayes to score first basket | +1000 @ FanDuel | 1.0% | 10.1% |
| Fire vs. Liberty | Emily Engstler to score first basket | +1100 @ FanDuel | 0.8% | 9.1% |
| Fire vs. Liberty | Luisa Geiselsoder to score first basket | +1300 @ FanDuel | 0.1% | 7.3% |
Conclusion
For May 25, 2026, our WNBA prop bets feature players such as Carla Leite, Kayla Thornton and Veronica Burton. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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