WNBA player props today: Friday's best props include Alyssa Thomas [5/15/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get WNBA player props today with projections for Friday's games.

WNBA Prop Bets.
WNBA prop bets for May 15, 2026 are based on the latest odds and projections for Friday's basketball games.

Dimers' WNBA props are live for May 15, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Alyssa Thomas, Brittney Sykes and Nneka Ogwumike.

Our WNBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Aces vs. Sun and Mystics vs. Fever, to surface the best WNBA player prop bets across the market.

List of WNBA prop bets for Friday, 5/15

Sourced from 30+ total props today, below are the top ten WNBA player props for May 15, ranked by probability.

Alyssa Thomas over 9.5 assists (-120)

  • Edge: 3.4%
  • Probability: 58.0%
  • Projection: 10.9
  • Game: Sky vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Phoenix' Alyssa Thomas over 9.5 assists. A probability of 58.0% gives this play an edge of 3.4% at -120 odds.

 

Brittney Sykes over 3.5 assists (+114)

  • Edge: 9.4%
  • Probability: 56.2%
  • Projection: 4.6
  • Game: Tempo vs. Sparks (10:00PM ET)

Brittney Sykes’s assists prop shows a 9.4% edge at +114 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 4.6 assists on the over 3.5 line.

 

Nneka Ogwumike over 17.5 points scored (-114)

  • Edge: 2.3%
  • Probability: 55.6%
  • Projection: 20.1
  • Game: Tempo vs. Sparks (10:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Nneka Ogwumike over 17.5 points scored, with simulations showing a 55.6% probability and a 2.3% edge at -114.

 

Kelsey Plum under 20.5 points scored (-114)

  • Edge: 1.3%
  • Probability: 54.6%
  • Projection: 18.3
  • Game: Tempo vs. Sparks (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects Kelsey Plum to put up 18.3 points scored today, creating an edge of 1.3% on the under 20.5 line at -114 odds.

 

Nyara Sabally over 6.5 rebounds (+115)

  • Edge: 6.9%
  • Probability: 53.4%
  • Projection: 7.1
  • Game: Tempo vs. Sparks (10:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Nyara Sabally over 6.5 rebounds for Toronto, showing an edge of 6.9% at +115 odds.

 

Kamilla Cardoso under 9.5 rebounds (+100)

  • Edge: 2.0%
  • Probability: 52.0%
  • Projection: 9.1
  • Game: Sky vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)

Kamilla Cardoso’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 2.0% at +100 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 9.1 today.

 

Kamilla Cardoso under 13.5 points scored (+100)

  • Edge: 1.8%
  • Probability: 51.8%
  • Projection: 12.7
  • Game: Sky vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects Kamilla Cardoso for 12.7 points scored for Chicago, creating an edge of 1.8% on under 13.5 at +100 odds.

 

Dearica Hamby over 17.5 points scored (+120)

  • Edge: 6.4%
  • Probability: 51.8%
  • Projection: 18.3
  • Game: Tempo vs. Sparks (10:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Dearica Hamby for 18.3 points scored, creating value on the over 17.5 line at +120 odds and a 6.4% edge.

 

Alyssa Thomas over 8.5 rebounds (+100)

  • Edge: 0.1%
  • Probability: 50.1%
  • Projection: 8.5
  • Game: Sky vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)

A 0.1% edge on the over 17.5 rebounds line makes Alyssa Thomas a value play in Sky vs. Mercury, with our model projecting her for 8.5 rebounds at +100 odds.

 

Kahleah Copper over 20.5 points scored (+125)

  • Edge: 5.1%
  • Probability: 49.5%
  • Projection: 20.3
  • Game: Sky vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)

Simulations project Kahleah Copper for 20.3 points scored here, creating a 5.1% edge on the over 20.5 line at +125 odds.

 

WNBA player prop summary: Friday, May 15, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 9:59PM ET:

Matchup Prop Odds Edge Probability
Sky vs. Mercury Alyssa Thomas over 9.5 assists -120 @ DraftKings 3.4% 58.0%
Tempo vs. Sparks Brittney Sykes over 3.5 assists +114 @ DraftKings 9.4% 56.2%
Tempo vs. Sparks Nneka Ogwumike over 17.5 points scored -114 @ FanDuel 1.3% 54.6%
Tempo vs. Sparks Kelsey Plum under 20.5 points scored -114 @ FanDuel 1.3% 54.6%
Tempo vs. Sparks Nyara Sabally over 6.5 rebounds +115 @ Fanatics 6.9% 53.4%
Sky vs. Mercury Kamilla Cardoso under 9.5 rebounds +100 @ Fanatics 2.0% 52.0%
Sky vs. Mercury Kamilla Cardoso under 13.5 points scored +100 @ DraftKings 1.8% 51.8%
Tempo vs. Sparks Dearica Hamby over 17.5 points scored +120 @ Fanatics 6.4% 51.8%
Sky vs. Mercury Alyssa Thomas over 8.5 rebounds +100 @ DraftKings 0.1% 50.1%
Sky vs. Mercury Kahleah Copper over 20.5 points scored +125 @ Fanatics 5.1% 49.5%
 

Conclusion

For May 15, 2026, our WNBA prop bets feature players such as Alyssa Thomas, Brittney Sykes and Nneka Ogwumike. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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