WNBA player props today: Friday's best props include Marina Mabrey [5/15/2026]

Marina Mabrey under 20.5 points scored (-118)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 60.6%
• Projection: 15.2
• Game: Tempo vs. Sparks (10:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Toronto's Marina Mabrey under 20.5 points scored. A probability of 60.6% gives this play an edge of 6.4% at -118 odds.

Alyssa Thomas over 9.5 assists (-118)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 59.5%
• Projection: 11.2
• Game: Sky vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)

Alyssa Thomas’s assists prop shows a 5.3% edge at -118 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 11.2 assists on the over 9.5 line.

Caitlin Clark under 19.5 points scored (-106)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 58.5%
• Projection: 15.3
• Game: Mystics vs. Fever (7:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Caitlin Clark under 19.5 points scored, with simulations showing a 58.5% probability and a 7.1% edge at -106.

Brittney Sykes over 3.5 assists (+125)

• Edge: 11.0%
• Probability: 55.4%
• Projection: 4.5
• Game: Tempo vs. Sparks (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects Brittney Sykes to put up 4.5 assists today, creating an edge of 11.0% on the over 3.5 line at +125 odds.

A'ja Wilson over 23.5 points scored (+100)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 54.2%
• Projection: 25.5
• Game: Aces vs. Sun (7:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on A'ja Wilson over 23.5 points scored for Las Vegas, showing an edge of 4.2% at +100 odds.

Nyara Sabally over 6.5 rebounds (+114)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 54.0%
• Projection: 7.2
• Game: Tempo vs. Sparks (10:00PM ET)

Nyara Sabally’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 7.3% at +114 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 7.2 today.

Caitlin Clark under 8.5 assists (-114)

• Edge: 0.4%
• Probability: 53.7%
• Projection: 7.9
• Game: Mystics vs. Fever (7:30PM ET)

Our model projects Caitlin Clark for 7.9 assists for Indiana, creating an edge of 0.4% on under 8.5 at -114 odds.

Kamilla Cardoso under 13.5 points scored (-104)

• Edge: 1.8%
• Probability: 52.8%
• Projection: 12.2
• Game: Sky vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Kamilla Cardoso for 12.2 points scored, creating value on the under 13.5 line at -104 odds and a 1.8% edge.

Aliyah Boston under 14.5 points scored (+115)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 52.7%
• Projection: 13.3
• Game: Mystics vs. Fever (7:30PM ET)

A 6.2% edge on the under 13.5 points scored line makes Aliyah Boston a value play in Mystics vs. Fever, with our model projecting her for 13.3 points scored at +115 odds.

Jewell Loyd over 9.5 points scored (+105)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 51.7%
• Projection: 10.3
• Game: Aces vs. Sun (7:30PM ET)

Simulations project Jewell Loyd for 10.3 points scored here, creating a 3.0% edge on the over 9.5 line at +105 odds.

WNBA player prop summary: Friday, May 15, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 3:35AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Tempo vs. Sparks	Marina Mabrey under 20.5 points scored	-118 @ FanDuel	6.4%	60.6%
Sky vs. Mercury	Alyssa Thomas over 9.5 assists	-118 @ FanDuel	5.3%	59.5%
Mystics vs. Fever	Caitlin Clark under 19.5 points scored	-106 @ FanDuel	11.0%	55.4%
Tempo vs. Sparks	Brittney Sykes over 3.5 assists	+125 @ Fanatics	11.0%	55.4%
Aces vs. Sun	A'ja Wilson over 23.5 points scored	+100 @ DraftKings	4.2%	54.2%
Tempo vs. Sparks	Nyara Sabally over 6.5 rebounds	+114 @ DraftKings	7.3%	54.0%
Mystics vs. Fever	Caitlin Clark under 8.5 assists	-114 @ FanDuel	0.4%	53.7%
Sky vs. Mercury	Kamilla Cardoso under 13.5 points scored	-104 @ FanDuel	1.8%	52.8%
Mystics vs. Fever	Aliyah Boston under 14.5 points scored	+115 @ Fanatics	6.2%	52.7%
Aces vs. Sun	Jewell Loyd over 9.5 points scored	+105 @ DraftKings	3.0%	51.7%

Conclusion

For May 15, 2026, our WNBA prop bets feature players such as Marina Mabrey, Alyssa Thomas and Caitlin Clark. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.