Best WNBA bets today: Tuesday's picks include Aces vs. Sun play [5/12/2026]

Today’s best WNBA bets for May 12, 2026 are here, with Aces vs. Sun among the top plays identified by our model across Tuesday’s WNBA slate.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest WNBA odds to find legitimate betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of WNBA best bets tonight [5/12, updated 9:35PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 WNBA bets, ranked by edge for Tuesday, May 12, 2026.

Sun +13.5 (+194)

• Edge: 23.3%
• Probability: 57.3%
• Matchup: Aces vs. Sun (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Our model has identified value on Sun +13.5 at +194 odds. A 57.3% probability produces an edge of 23.3%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.

Aces vs. Sun under 171.5 points (+130)

• Edge: 15.1%
• Probability: 58.6%
• Matchup: Aces vs. Sun (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Aces vs. Sun under 171.5 points carries a 15.1% edge and a probability of 58.6% at +130 odds, according to our model.

Liberty vs. Fire over 174 points (-105)

• Edge: 10.3%
• Probability: 61.5%
• Matchup: Liberty vs. Fire (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Liberty vs. Fire over 174 points at -105 odds shows a 10.3% edge, supported by a 61.5% probability in simulations.

Storm +3.5 (+104)

• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 57.4%
• Matchup: Storm vs. Tempo (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)

An 8.4% edge and 57.4% probability make Storm +3.5 vs. Tempo at a value play in the Storm vs. Tempo matchup, per our model.

Mercury ML (-182)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 72.8%
• Matchup: Lynx vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Mercury ML at -182 odds presents a 8.3% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 72.8%.

Storm vs. Tempo under 166.5 points (+100)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 56%
• Matchup: Storm vs. Tempo (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Our model finds value on under 166.5 points in Storm vs. Tempo at +100 odds, supported by an edge of 6.0%.

Fire +11.5 (+100)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 55.9%
• Matchup: Liberty vs. Fire (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Our model has uncovered value on Fire +11.5 at +100 odds. A 55.9% probability produces a 5.8% edge, making this a strong play for today's WNBA action.

Fire ML (+658)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 16.9%
• Matchup: Liberty vs. Fire (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)

A 3.7% edge on a 16.9% probability makes Fire to win at +658 odds a solid value play in today's Liberty vs. Fire matchup.

Storm ML (+145)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 44.2%
• Matchup: Storm vs. Tempo (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Our model projects value on Storm to win at +145 odds. A 44.2% probability produces a 3.4% edge, making Storm the favorable ML play in Saturday’s matchup.

Mercury -4.5 (-106)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 54.8%
• Matchup: Lynx vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Mercury -4.5 at -106 odds shows a 54.8% probability and a 3.3% edge.

WNBA best bets summary: Tuesday, 5/12/2026

As of 9:35PM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [5/12/2026]

• Liberty vs. Fire (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• Lynx vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• Storm vs. Tempo (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Aces vs. Sun (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Conclusion

Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for May 12, 2026, featuring plays such as Sun +13.5 and under 171.5 points also in the Aces vs. Sun matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.