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Best WNBA bets today: Thursday's picks include Liberty vs. Fire play [5/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get WNBA picks today and best bets for Thursday, May 14, 2026.
Today’s best WNBA bets for May 14, 2026 are here, with Liberty vs. Fire and Lynx vs. Wings among the top plays identified by our model across Thursday’s WNBA schedule.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest WNBA odds to uncover top betting edges. The result? Data-backed plays that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of WNBA best bets tonight [5/14, updated 6:03AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s best WNBA bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, May 14, 2026.
Liberty vs. Fire under 177.5 points (-110)
- Edge: 16.2%
- Probability: 68.6%
- Matchup: Liberty vs. Fire (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
Our model has identified value on under 177.5 points in Liberty vs. Fire at -110 odds. A 68.6% probability produces an edge of 16.2%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.
Lynx vs. Wings under 177.5 points (+108)
- Edge: 11.1%
- Probability: 59.1%
- Matchup: Lynx vs. Wings (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
Lynx vs. Wings under 177.5 points carries a 11.1% edge and a probability of 59.1% at +108 odds, according to our model.
Wings ML (-141)
- Edge: 8.1%
- Probability: 66.6%
- Matchup: Lynx vs. Wings (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
Wings ML at -141 odds shows a 8.1% edge, supported by a 66.6% probability in simulations.
Wings -3.5 (+106)
- Edge: 7.2%
- Probability: 55.7%
- Matchup: Lynx vs. Wings (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
A 7.2% edge and 55.7% probability make Wings -3.5 vs. Lynx at a value play in the Lynx vs. Wings matchup, per our model.
Fire +11 (+100)
- Edge: 3.3%
- Probability: 53.3%
- Matchup: Liberty vs. Fire (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
Fire +11 at +100 odds presents a 3.3% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 53.3%.
WNBA best bets summary: Thursday, 5/14/2026
As of 6:03AM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty vs. Fire | Under 177.5 Points | -110 @ bet_rivers_in | 16.2% | 68.6% |
| Lynx vs. Wings | Under 177.5 Points | +108 @ polymarket | 11.1% | 59.1% |
| Lynx vs. Wings | Wings ML | -141 @ polymarket | 8.1% | 66.6% |
| Lynx vs. Wings | Wings -3.5 | +106 @ polymarket | 7.2% | 55.7% |
| Liberty vs. Fire | Fire +11 | +100 @ Caesars | 3.3% | 53.3% |
List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [5/14/2026]
- Lynx vs. Wings (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
- Liberty vs. Fire (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
Conclusion
Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for May 14, 2026, featuring plays such as under 177.5 points in the Liberty vs. Fire matchup and under 177.5 points in the Lynx vs. Wings matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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