Best WNBA bets today: Memorial Day picks include Sparks vs. Aces play [5/23/2026]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get WNBA picks today and best bets for Saturday, May 23, 2026.

WNBA Best Bets.
These WNBA betting picks for May 23, 2026, are based on the latest odds and probabilities for Saturday's games.

Today’s best WNBA bets for Memorial Day are here, with Sparks vs. Aces and Wings vs. Liberty among the top plays identified by our model across Saturday’s WNBA action.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest WNBA odds to discover top betting edges. The result? Data-backed plays that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of WNBA best bets today [5/23, updated 12:42AM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 WNBA bets, ranked by edge for Saturday, May 23, 2026.

Sparks vs. Aces under 181.5 points (-104)

  • Edge: 19.2%
  • Probability: 70.2%
  • Matchup: Sparks vs. Aces (8:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has identified value on under 181.5 points in Sparks vs. Aces at -104 odds. A 70.2% probability produces an edge of 19.2%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.

 

Wings vs. Liberty under 176.5 points (+102)

Wings vs. Liberty under 176.5 points carries a 10.0% edge and a probability of 59.5% at +102 odds, according to our model.

 

Liberty ML (-270)

Liberty ML at -270 odds shows a 7.0% edge, supported by a 80% probability in simulations.

 

Tempo ML (-189)

  • Edge: 6.8%
  • Probability: 72.2%
  • Matchup: Fire vs. Tempo (6:00PM ET, Saturday)

A 6.8% edge and 72.2% probability make Tempo at the moneyline at a value play in the Fire vs. Tempo matchup, per our model.

 

Liberty -7.5 (+100)

Liberty -7.5 at +100 odds presents a 5.2% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 55.2%.

 

Dream ML (-203)

Our model finds value on Dream to win at -203 odds, supported by an edge of 4.6%.

 

Fire vs. Tempo under 173.5 points (-108)

  • Edge: 4.4%
  • Probability: 56.3%
  • Matchup: Fire vs. Tempo (6:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has uncovered value on Fire vs. Tempo under 173.5 points at -108 odds. A 56.3% probability produces a 4.4% edge, making this a strong play for today's WNBA action.

 

Aces ML (-308)

  • Edge: 4.3%
  • Probability: 79.8%
  • Matchup: Sparks vs. Aces (8:00PM ET, Saturday)

A 4.3% edge on a 79.8% probability makes Aces to win at -308 odds a solid value play in today's Sparks vs. Aces matchup.

 

Tempo -4.5 (-112)

  • Edge: 3.1%
  • Probability: 55.9%
  • Matchup: Fire vs. Tempo (6:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model projects value on Tempo -4.5 at -112 odds. A 55.9% probability produces a 3.1% edge, making Tempo the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

 

Mercury vs. Dream over 167.5 points (+102)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Mercury vs. Dream over 167.5 points at +102 odds shows a 52.5% probability and a 3.0% edge.

 

WNBA best bets summary: Saturday, 5/23/2026

As of 12:42AM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup Bet Odds Edge Probability
Sparks vs. Aces Under 181.5 Points -104 @ Novig 19.2% 70.2%
Wings vs. Liberty Under 176.5 Points +102 @ Polymarket 10.0% 59.5%
Wings vs. Liberty Liberty ML -270 @ Polymarket 7.0% 80%
Fire vs. Tempo Tempo ML -189 @ Novig 6.8% 72.2%
Wings vs. Liberty Liberty -7.5 +100 @ Polymarket 5.2% 55.2%
Mercury vs. Dream Dream ML -203 @ Polymarket 4.6% 71.6%
Fire vs. Tempo Under 173.5 Points -108 @ DraftKings 4.4% 56.3%
Sparks vs. Aces Aces ML -308 @ Polymarket 4.3% 79.8%
Fire vs. Tempo Tempo -4.5 -112 @ DraftKings 3.1% 55.9%
Mercury vs. Dream Over 167.5 Points +102 @ Polymarket 3.0% 52.5%
 

List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [5/23/2026]

Conclusion

Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for May 23, 2026, featuring plays such as under 181.5 points in the Sparks vs. Aces matchup and under 176.5 points in the Wings vs. Liberty matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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