Best WNBA bets today: Saturday's picks include Liberty vs. Mystics play [5/9/2026]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get WNBA picks today and best bets for Saturday, May 9, 2026.

WNBA Best Bets.
These WNBA betting picks for May 9, 2026, are based on the latest odds and probabilities for Saturday's games.

Today’s best WNBA bets for May 09, 2026 are here, with Liberty vs. Mystics among the top plays identified by our model across Saturday’s WNBA play.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest WNBA odds to find real betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of WNBA best bets tonight [5/9, updated 7:33PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 WNBA bets, ranked by edge for Saturday, May 9, 2026.

Liberty ML (-235)

Our model has identified value on Liberty to defeat Mystics at -235 odds. A 83.3% probability produces an edge of 13.2%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.

 

Liberty -6.5 (-105)

Liberty -6.5 carries a 13.1% edge and a probability of 64.3% at -105 odds, according to our model.

 

Dream ML (-218)

  • Edge: 10.0%
  • Probability: 78.5%
  • Matchup: Dream vs. Lynx (8:00PM ET, Saturday)

Dream ML at -218 odds shows a 10.0% edge, supported by a 78.5% probability in simulations.

 

Sun ML (+120)

  • Edge: 9.2%
  • Probability: 54.7%
  • Matchup: Storm vs. Sun (1:00PM ET, Sunday)

A 9.2% edge and 54.7% probability make Sun at the moneyline at a value play in the Storm vs. Sun matchup, per our model.

 

Sun +2.5 (-110)

  • Edge: 9.1%
  • Probability: 61.4%
  • Matchup: Storm vs. Sun (1:00PM ET, Sunday)

Sun +2.5 at -110 odds presents a 9.1% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 61.4%.

 

Aces vs. Sparks under 175.5 points (-110)

  • Edge: 8.7%
  • Probability: 61.1%
  • Matchup: Aces vs. Sparks (6:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model finds value on under 175.5 points in Aces vs. Sparks at -110 odds, supported by an edge of 8.7%.

 

Dream -5.5 (-108)

  • Edge: 7.9%
  • Probability: 59.8%
  • Matchup: Dream vs. Lynx (8:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has uncovered value on Dream -5.5 at -108 odds. A 59.8% probability produces a 7.9% edge, making this a strong play for today's WNBA action.

 

Dream vs. Lynx over 159.5 points (-118)

  • Edge: 7.3%
  • Probability: 61.4%
  • Matchup: Dream vs. Lynx (8:00PM ET, Saturday)

A 7.3% edge on a 61.4% probability makes over 159.5 points at -118 odds a solid value play in today's Dream vs. Lynx matchup.

 

Liberty vs. Mystics under 159.5 points (-110)

Our model projects value on under 159.5 points at -110 odds. A 58% probability produces a 5.6% edge, making the under the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

 

Storm vs. Sun over 160.5 points (-110)

  • Edge: 4.9%
  • Probability: 57.2%
  • Matchup: Storm vs. Sun (1:00PM ET, Sunday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Storm vs. Sun over 160.5 points at -110 odds shows a 57.2% probability and a 4.9% edge.

 

WNBA best bets summary: Saturday, 5/9/2026

As of 7:33PM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup Bet Odds Edge Probability
Liberty vs. Mystics Liberty ML -235 @ BetMGM 13.2% 83.3%
Liberty vs. Mystics Liberty -6.5 -105 @ DraftKings 13.1% 64.3%
Dream vs. Lynx Dream ML -218 @ DraftKings 10.0% 78.5%
Storm vs. Sun Sun ML +120 @ BetMGM 9.2% 54.7%
Storm vs. Sun Sun +2.5 -110 @ BetMGM 9.1% 61.4%
Aces vs. Sparks Under 175.5 Points -110 @ DraftKings 8.7% 61.1%
Dream vs. Lynx Dream -5.5 -108 @ FanDuel 7.9% 59.8%
Dream vs. Lynx Over 159.5 Points -118 @ FanDuel 7.3% 61.4%
Liberty vs. Mystics Under 159.5 Points -110 @ BetMGM 5.6% 58%
Storm vs. Sun Over 160.5 Points -110 @ BetMGM 4.9% 57.2%
 

List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [5/9/2026]

Conclusion

Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for May 9, 2026, featuring plays such as Liberty ML and Liberty -6.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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