Best WNBA bets today: Friday's picks include Lynx vs. Sky play [5/29/2026]

Lynx vs. Sky under 171.5 points (+120)

• Edge: 15.7%
• Probability: 61.2%
• Matchup: Lynx vs. Sky (7:30PM ET)

Our model has identified value on under 171.5 points in Lynx vs. Sky at +120 odds. A 61.2% probability produces an edge of 15.7%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.

Mercury vs. Liberty under 170.5 points (+100)

• Edge: 7.7%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Matchup: Mercury vs. Liberty (7:30PM ET)

Mercury vs. Liberty under 170.5 points carries a 7.7% edge and a probability of 57.7% at +100 odds, according to our model.

Dream ML (-342)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 83%
• Matchup: Dream vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)

Dream ML at -342 odds shows a 5.6% edge, supported by a 83% probability in simulations.

Liberty ML (-208)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 72.8%
• Matchup: Mercury vs. Liberty (7:30PM ET)

A 5.3% edge and 72.8% probability make Liberty at the moneyline at a value play in the Mercury vs. Liberty matchup, per our model.

Dream vs. Fire under 164.5 points (-108)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 57.2%
• Matchup: Dream vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)

Dream vs. Fire under 164.5 points at -108 odds presents a 5.3% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 57.2%.

Sky +4.5 (-105)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 55.9%
• Matchup: Lynx vs. Sky (7:30PM ET)

Our model finds value on Sky +4.5 at -105 odds, supported by an edge of 4.7%.

Mystics ML (-120)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 58.9%
• Matchup: Sparks vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Mystics ML at -120 odds. A 58.9% probability produces a 4.4% edge, making this a strong play for today's WNBA action.

Sparks vs. Mystics under 166.5 points (-108)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 55.4%
• Matchup: Sparks vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET)

A 3.4% edge on a 55.4% probability makes under 166.5 points at -108 odds a solid value play in today's Sparks vs. Mystics matchup.

Sky ML (+174)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 39.8%
• Matchup: Lynx vs. Sky (7:30PM ET)

Our model projects value on Sky to win at +174 odds. A 39.8% probability produces a 3.3% edge, making Sky the favorable ML play in today's matchup.

Dream -8.5 (-108)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 55.1%
• Matchup: Dream vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Dream -8.5 at -108 odds shows a 55.1% probability and a 3.2% edge.

WNBA best bets summary: Friday, 5/29/2026

As of 11:03AM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [5/29/2026]

• Lynx vs. Sky (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Mercury vs. Liberty (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Sparks vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Dream vs. Fire (10:00PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for May 29, 2026, featuring plays such as under 171.5 points in the Lynx vs. Sky matchup and under 170.5 points in the Mercury vs. Liberty matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.