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Melbourne Demons vs. West Coast Eagles prediction: Why Demons are favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 9 matchup [5/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Melbourne Demons vs West Coast Eagles predictions for AFL Saturday.
The Melbourne Demons will square off with the West Coast Eagles in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 11:10 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Demons as the most likely winner of the Eagles vs. Demons game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Demons vs. Eagles prediction: Who will win Round 9 game?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's AFL game between the Eagles and Demons, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Demons an 89% chance of beating the Eagles.
According to our model, the Eagles (+40.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 196.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
West Coast vs. Melbourne odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Eagles | Demons |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +600 | -1000 |
| Line (Spread) | +40.5 (-115) | -40.5 (-115) |
| Total | o196.5 (-115) | u196.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Eagles vs. Demons picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Eagles +40.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Demons | -1000 |
| Total | Under 196.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Eagles +40.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Demons vs. Eagles game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rules football matchup between the Demons and Eagles at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 11:10 PM ET.
- Who: West Coast Eagles vs. Melbourne Demons
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Time: 11:10 PM ET/8:10PM PT
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Demons, with an 89% win probability, will likely beat the Eagles in Saturday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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