Collingwood Magpies vs. West Coast Eagles prediction: Why Magpies are favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 11 matchup [5/23/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Collingwood Magpies vs West Coast Eagles predictions for AFL Saturday.

Collingwood Magpies-West Coast Eagles Predictions and Game Preview.
Collingwood Magpies vs. West Coast Eagles AFL prediction for Saturday, May 23, 2026.

The Collingwood Magpies will face the West Coast Eagles in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, commencing at 2:35 AM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced AFL model projects the Magpies as the most likely winner of the Eagles vs. Magpies game.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Magpies vs. Eagles prediction: Who will win Round 11 game?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's AFL matchup between the Eagles and Magpies, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Magpies a 94% chance of beating the Eagles.

According to our model, the Magpies (-48.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 174.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

West Coast vs. Collingwood odds

We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Eagles Magpies
H2H (Moneyline) +850 -2000
Line (Spread) +48.5 (-115) -48.5 (-115)
Total o174.5 (-115) u174.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Eagles vs. Magpies picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Magpies -48.5 -115
Moneyline Magpies -2000
Total Over 174.5 -115

According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Magpies -48.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Magpies vs. Eagles game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's Australian rules football action between the Magpies and Eagles at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 2:35 AM ET.

  • Who: West Coast Eagles vs. Collingwood Magpies
  • Date: Saturday, May 23, 2026
  • Time: 2:35 AM ET/11:35PM PT
  • Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground

The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.

Conclusion

We predict the Magpies, with a 94% win probability, will likely beat the Eagles in Saturday's AFL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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