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Wizards vs. Kings prediction: Sacramento favored to win Friday's NBA game [1/16/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Washington Wizards vs Sacramento Kings predictions for NBA Friday.
NBA action continues on Friday at 10:00 PM ET as the Washington Wizards face off with the favored Sacramento Kings at Golden 1 Center.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Kings as the most likely winner of the Wizards vs. Kings game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Kings lineup will feature players like Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan and Domantas Sabonis, while the Wizards will be led by Alex Sarr, Tre Johnson and Kyshawn George.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Wizards vs. Kings prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NBA matchup between the Wizards and Kings 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Kings a 72% chance of beating the Wizards. Our predicted final score has the Kings winning 119-112.
According to our model, the Wizards (+7.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 234.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
Wizards vs. Kings odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Wizards | Kings |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7.5 (-110) | -7.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +220 | -265 |
| Total | o234.5 (-115) | u234.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Wizards vs. Kings picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Wizards +7.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Kings | -265 |
| Total | Under 234.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Under 234.5 total points.
Wizards vs. Kings player props
NBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on the Washington vs. Sacramento matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Golden 1 Center.
Alex Sarr is expected to lead the Wizards with 18 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists, while Zach LaVine is projected to have 21 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists for the Kings.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Wizards prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Wizards are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Sarr | 18 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 39 |
| Tre Johnson | 15 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 28 |
| Kyshawn George | 15 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 36 |
| Bub Carrington | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 31 |
| J. Champagnie | 11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 27 |
Kings prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Kings:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LaVine | 21 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 35 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 21 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 37 |
| D. Sabonis | 18 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 |
| R. Westbrook | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 41 |
| Malik Monk | 11 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 22 |
Wizards vs. Kings game-day updates and essential details
Friday's action between the Kings and Wizards at Golden 1 Center is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Washington Wizards vs. Sacramento Kings
- Date: Friday, January 16, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Golden 1 Center
Conclusion
We predict the Kings, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Wizards on Friday, with Domantas Sabonis projected for a game-high 46 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Wizards vs. Kings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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