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Wizards vs. Kings Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Wizards vs. Kings NBA game on January 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
99
109
Jan 17, 3AM Golden 1 Center
Jan 17, 3AM Golden 1 Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wizards | 22 | 39 | 23 | 15 | 99 |
Kings | 41 | 26 | 34 | 8 | 109 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
4%
96%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wizards | 22 | 39 | 23 | 15 | 99 |
Kings | 41 | 26 | 34 | 8 | 109 |
Q4 1:05 Kings makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:42 Wizards misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:49 Kings misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:07 Wizards misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:11 Wizards makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:16 Wizards misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:23 Kings misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:33 Kings misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:44 Wizards misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:10 Kings makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Zach LaVine defensive rebound
AJ Johnson defensive rebound
Dylan Cardwell defensive rebound
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
99-109
Wizards lineup change (Anthony Gill, Malaki Branham, AJ Johnson, Jamir Watkins, Will Riley)
Kings turnover
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Kings defensive rebound
Wizards violation
Kings misses three point jump shot
Wizards misses three point jump shot
DeMar DeRozan offensive rebound
Kings personal foul
Kings lineup change (Dylan Cardwell, DeMar DeRozan, Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, Precious Achiuwa)
Precious Achiuwa offensive rebound
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
99-109
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Kings misses three point jump shot
Kings misses three point jump shot
Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
99-109
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
99-109
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Kyshawn George, Alex Sarr, Jamir Watkins, Tre Johnson)
Kyshawn George defensive rebound
Wizards turnover
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
99-109
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings turnover
Kings violation
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Kyshawn George, Alex Sarr, Jamir Watkins, Will Riley)
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
99-109
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
99-109
Wizards personal foul
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, DeMar DeRozan, Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, Maxime Raynaud)
+1
Marvin Bagley III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-109
Wizards turnover
Kings misses three point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
99-109
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
99-109
Dennis Schroder offensive rebound
Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
Domantas Sabonis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Kings offensive rebound
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
99-109
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
97-109
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+1
Domantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-109
Will Riley defensive rebound
Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Domantas Sabonis, Zach LaVine, Precious Achiuwa, Nique Clifford)
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Malaki Branham, Marvin Bagley III, Jamir Watkins, Will Riley)
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
94-106
Bub Carrington defensive rebound
Nique Clifford defensive rebound
Domantas Sabonis turnover (offensive foul)
Instant replay
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis, Precious Achiuwa, Nique Clifford)
Kings personal foul
Dylan Cardwell defensive rebound
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
89-103
Dylan Cardwell turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
87-101
Kings turnover
Jump ball. (Malik Monk gains possession)
Wizards personal foul
Dennis Schroder misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Wizards lineup change (Kyshawn George, Marvin Bagley III, AJ Johnson, Will Riley, Tre Johnson)
Wizards lineup change (Kyshawn George, Marvin Bagley III, AJ Johnson, Will Riley, Tre Johnson)
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Kings misses three point jump shot
Dylan Cardwell defensive rebound
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
84-100
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
84-98
Kings misses two point jump shot
AJ Johnson defensive rebound
Kings personal foul
Wizards 60 second timeout
Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Dylan Cardwell, Domantas Sabonis, Nique Clifford)
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Dennis Schroder misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Wizards personal foul
Wizards lineup change (Kyshawn George, Marvin Bagley III, AJ Johnson, Jamir Watkins, Will Riley)
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards lineup change (Marvin Bagley III, AJ Johnson, Jamir Watkins, Will Riley, Justin Champagnie)
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
82-92
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
82-90
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
80-90
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
78-90
Kings 60 second timeout
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Alex Sarr, AJ Johnson, Will Riley, Justin Champagnie)
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
74-85
Justin Champagnie offensive rebound
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
72-82
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Kings violation
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Kyshawn George, Alex Sarr, AJ Johnson, Justin Champagnie)
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
72-79
Kings misses two point jump shot
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Kings misses two point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
72-77
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
69-77
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
68-74
Instant replay
Wizards personal foul
DeMar DeRozan turnover
+1
Kyshawn George makes technical free throw 1 of 1
68-75
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
68-72
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
65-72
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Alex Sarr defensive rebound
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
65-70
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
63-70
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
Kings offensive rebound
Kings personal foul
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings offensive rebound
Dylan Cardwell defensive rebound
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Kyshawn George, Alex Sarr, Tre Johnson, Justin Champagnie)
Wizards personal foul
Kings offensive rebound
Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Dylan Cardwell, Precious Achiuwa, Nique Clifford)
Kings turnover
Dylan Cardwell defensive rebound
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
59-66
Justin Champagnie offensive rebound
Nique Clifford defensive rebound
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
57-63
Justin Champagnie defensive rebound
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
55-60
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 1 of 2
53-59
Kings lineup change (Malik Monk, DeMar DeRozan, Domantas Sabonis, Russell Westbrook, Nique Clifford)
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
53-58
Kings violation
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
51-56
Kings offensive rebound
Kings lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Domantas Sabonis, Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, Nique Clifford)
+1
Zach LaVine makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-56
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
49-55
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
46-55
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
45-53
Precious Achiuwa misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Precious Achiuwa makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-53
Justin Champagnie defensive rebound
Precious Achiuwa offensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Kings personal foul
Kings lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Domantas Sabonis, Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, Precious Achiuwa)
+1
Jamir Watkins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
41-52
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
39-52
Kings misses two point jump shot
Bub Carrington defensive rebound
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
36-50
Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
Wizards personal foul
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Malaki Branham, Marvin Bagley III, Jamir Watkins, Will Riley)
Kings defensive rebound
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
33-50
Kings personal foul
+1
Marvin Bagley III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-47
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
31-45
Kings lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, Precious Achiuwa, Maxime Raynaud)
Kings misses two point jump shot
Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
24-45
Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Dylan Cardwell, DeMar DeRozan, Maxime Raynaud)
Marvin Bagley III misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Kings turnover
Malik Monk defensive rebound
Wizards personal foul
Jamir Watkins turnover (offensive foul)
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
23-43
Kings personal foul
+1
Marvin Bagley III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
23-41
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Malaki Branham, Marvin Bagley III, Jamir Watkins, Tre Johnson)
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+1
Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-39
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Kyshawn George, Marvin Bagley III, Jamir Watkins, Will Riley)
Wizards turnover
+1
Malik Monk makes technical free throw 1 of 1
22-34
Kings personal foul
Jamir Watkins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Wizards offensive rebound
+1
Domantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
22-32
Wizards lineup change (Kyshawn George, Marvin Bagley III, AJ Johnson, Jamir Watkins, Will Riley)
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot (Malik Monk assists)
22-31
Wizards 60 second timeout
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Marvin Bagley III, AJ Johnson, Will Riley, Justin Champagnie)
Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Dylan Cardwell, Domantas Sabonis, Nique Clifford)
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
22-29
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
22-24
Kings misses two point jump shot
Wizards 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Nique Clifford offensive rebound
Kings defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Maxime Raynaud offensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
Maxime Raynaud misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Maxime Raynaud misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Bub Carrington makes regular free throw 1 of 2
15-18
+1
Bub Carrington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
16-18
+2
Precious Achiuwa makes two point dunk (Russell Westbrook assists)
14-18
+2
Tre Johnson makes two point driving hook shot
14-16
Alex Sarr turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Russell Westbrook turnover (bad pass) (Bub Carrington steals)
+1
Alex Sarr makes regular free throw 1 of 1
12-13
+3
Russell Westbrook makes three point jump shot (Precious Achiuwa assists)
9-13
Alex Sarr defensive rebound
Russell Westbrook misses three point jump shot
Maxime Raynaud offensive rebound
Zach LaVine misses two point running alley-oop layup
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 2
7-7
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 2
7-8
+2
Zach LaVine makes two point cutting layup (Russell Westbrook assists)
4-6
+2
Justin Champagnie makes two point running dunk (Bub Carrington assists)
4-4
+2
Kyshawn George makes two point driving layup
2-4
+2
Precious Achiuwa makes two point running dunk (Maxime Raynaud assists)
0-4
Zach LaVine misses three point stepback jump shot
Kyshawn George misses two point driving layup
+2
DeMar DeRozan makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Maxime Raynaud assists)
0-2
Alex Sarr vs. Maxime Raynaud (Zach LaVine gains possession)
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wizards vs. Kings: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Wizards vs. Kings
- Date: Friday, January 16, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Golden 1 Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Kings favored at -7.5
- Total (Over/Under): 235
- Moneyline Odds: Wizards +222, Kings -265
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Wizards: 28%
- Kings: 72%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Wizards 113-119 Kings.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Wizards a win probability of 28%, while the Kings have a win probability of 72%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Kings are more likely to beat the Wizards in the NBA game at Golden 1 Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Wizards vs. Kings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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