Wizards vs. Pacers prediction: Why Indiana is favored to win Black Friday NBA matchup [11/28/2025]

The Indiana Pacers will face the Washington Wizards in NBA Cup Black Friday action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Friday, commencing at 7:30PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Pacers as the most likely winner of the Wizards vs. Pacers game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pacers lineup will feature players like Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin and T.J. McConnell, while the Wizards will rely on Alex Sarr, CJ McCollum and Kyshawn George.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Wizards vs. Pacers prediction: Who will win NBA Cup game?

As part of Dimers' NBA predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, spread, and over/under probabilities for Friday's clash between the Wizards and Pacers.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Pacers a 69% chance of beating the Wizards. Our predicted final score has the Pacers winning 121-116.

According to our model, the Wizards (+6.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 239.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.

Wizards vs. Pacers odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Wizards vs. Pacers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Under 239.5 total points.

Wizards vs. Pacers player props

Betting on Wizards vs. Pacers NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Alex Sarr is expected to lead the Wizards with 19 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists, while Pascal Siakam is projected to have 25 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists for the Pacers.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Wizards prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Wizards are:

Pacers prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pacers:

Wizards vs. Pacers game-day updates and essential details

Friday's game between the Pacers and Wizards at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to start at 7:30PM ET.

• Who: Washington Wizards vs. Indiana Pacers
• Date: Friday, November 28, 2025 (Black Friday)
• Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
• Tournament details: 2025 Emirates NBA Cup

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Conclusion

We predict the Pacers, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Wizards on Black Friday, with Pascal Siakam projected for a game-high 48 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Wizards vs. Pacers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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