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Wizards vs. Nuggets prediction: Denver favored to win Saturday's NBA matchup [1/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets predictions for NBA Saturday.
The Denver Nuggets and Washington Wizards are scheduled to meet in NBA action at Ball Arena on Saturday, starting at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Wizards vs. Nuggets game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature stars like Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon and Peyton Watson, while the Wizards will rely on Alex Sarr, Tre Johnson and Kyshawn George.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Wizards vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NBA matchup between the Wizards and Nuggets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Nuggets an 83% chance of defeating the Wizards. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 120-109.
According to our model, the Wizards (+12.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 231.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Wizards vs. Nuggets odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Wizards | Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +12.5 (-110) | -12.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +475 | -620 |
| Total | o231.5 (-110) | u231.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Wizards vs. Nuggets picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Wizards +12.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Wizards | +475 |
| Total | Under 231.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Wizards +12.5 at the spread.
Wizards vs. Nuggets player props
Betting on Wizards vs. Nuggets NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.
Alex Sarr is expected to lead the Wizards with 17 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists, while Jamal Murray is projected to have 26 points, 5 rebounds and 8 assists for the Nuggets.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Wizards prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Wizards are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Sarr | 17 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 38 |
| Tre Johnson | 15 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 27 |
| Kyshawn George | 14 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 32 |
| Bub Carrington | 12 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 30 |
| Khris Middleton | 12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 26 |
Nuggets prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | 26 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 51 |
| Aaron Gordon | 20 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 37 |
| Peyton Watson | 19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 38 |
| Tim Hardaway | 15 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 25 |
| Jalen Pickett | 10 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 26 |
Wizards vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Nuggets and Wizards at Ball Arena is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Washington Wizards vs. Denver Nuggets
- Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Ball Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Nuggets, with an 83% win probability, will likely beat the Wizards on Saturday, with Jamal Murray projected for a game-high 51 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Wizards vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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