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NBA picks today: Saturday's best bets include Thunder vs. Heat play [1/17/2026]
Get best NBA picks today and best bets for Saturday, January 17, 2026.

Today’s NBA picks for January 17, 2026 are here, with Thunder vs. Heat and Hornets vs. Warriors among the top plays identified by our model across Saturday’s NBA action.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest basketball odds to unearth genuine betting edges. The result? Data-backed plays that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of NBA picks today [1/17, updated 2:31AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s best basketball bets, ranked by edge for Saturday, January 17, 2026.
Heat +9 (-106)
- Edge: 4.1%
- Probability: 55.5%
- Matchup: Thunder vs. Heat (8:00PM ET, Saturday)
Our model has identified value on Heat +9 at -106 odds. A 55.5% probability produces an edge of 4.1%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.
Warriors ML (-230)
- Edge: 3.5%
- Probability: 73.2%
- Matchup: Hornets vs. Warriors (8:30PM ET, Saturday)
Warriors ML carries a 3.5% edge and a probability of 73.2% at -230 odds, according to our model.
Mavericks ML (-166)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 65.8%
- Matchup: Jazz vs. Mavericks (5:00PM ET, Saturday)
Mavericks ML at -166 odds shows a 3.4% edge, supported by a 65.8% probability in simulations.
Pacers +12.5 (-110)
- Edge: 3.1%
- Probability: 55.5%
- Matchup: Pacers vs. Pistons (7:30PM ET, Saturday)
A 3.1% edge and 55.5% probability make Pacers +12.5 vs. Pistons at a value play in the Pacers vs. Pistons matchup, per our model.
Knicks ML (-154)
- Edge: 2.6%
- Probability: 63.3%
- Matchup: Suns vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET, Saturday)
Knicks ML at -154 odds presents a 2.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 63.3%.
Wizards +13 (-110)
- Edge: 2.6%
- Probability: 55%
- Matchup: Wizards vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET, Saturday)
Our model finds value on Wizards +13 at -110 odds, supported by an edge of 2.6%.
Jazz vs. Mavericks under 241.5 points (-105)
- Edge: 2.4%
- Probability: 53.6%
- Matchup: Jazz vs. Mavericks (5:00PM ET, Saturday)
Our model has uncovered value on Jazz vs. Mavericks under 241.5 points at -105 odds. A 53.6% probability produces a 2.4% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.
NBA best bets summary: Saturday, 1/17/2026
As of 2:31AM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Heat | Heat +9 | -106 @ FanDuel | 4.1% | 55.5% |
| Hornets vs. Warriors | Warriors ML | -230 @ FanDuel | 3.5% | 73.2% |
| Jazz vs. Mavericks | Mavericks ML | -166 @ FanDuel | 3.4% | 65.8% |
| Pacers vs. Pistons | Pacers +12.5 | -110 @ BetMGM | 3.1% | 55.5% |
| Suns vs. Knicks | Knicks ML | -154 @ FanDuel | 2.6% | 63.3% |
| Wizards vs. Nuggets | Wizards +13 | -110 @ FanDuel | 2.6% | 55% |
| Jazz vs. Mavericks | Under 241.5 Points | -105 @ BetMGM | 2.4% | 53.6% |
List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [1/17/2026]
- Jazz vs. Mavericks (5:00PM ET, Saturday)
- Pacers vs. Pistons (7:30PM ET, Saturday)
- Celtics vs. Hawks (7:30PM ET, Saturday)
- Suns vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET, Saturday)
- Thunder vs. Heat (8:00PM ET, Saturday)
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET, Saturday)
- Hornets vs. Warriors (8:30PM ET, Saturday)
- Wizards vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET, Saturday)
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET, Saturday)
Meet Dimebot, Dimers’ AI assistant
See how you can use Dimebot to ask questions, clarify data, and streamline your betting research.
Conclusion
Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for January 17, 2026, featuring plays such as Heat +9 and Warriors ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NBA insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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