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Wizards vs. Nuggets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Wizards vs. Nuggets NBA game on January 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
115
121
Jan 18, 2AM Ball Arena
Jan 18, 2AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wizards | 29 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 115 |
Nuggets | 36 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 121 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
14%
86%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wizards | 29 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 115 |
Nuggets | 36 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 121 |
Q4 00:28 Tre Johnson misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 00:50 Wizards makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:58 Wizards misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:57 Kyshawn George makes two point jump shot
Q4 5:09 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:19 Khris Middleton misses two point stepback jump shot
Q4 5:56 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 6:55 Khris Middleton makes two point layup
Q4 7:38 Tre Johnson makes two point jump shot
Q4 7:58 Jamal Murray blocks Kyshawn George's two point pullup jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Nuggets offensive rebound
Bub Carrington turnover (bad pass) (Peyton Watson steals)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Peyton Watson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Wizards lineup change (Kyshawn George, Bub Carrington, Khris Middleton, AJ Johnson, Alex Sarr)
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-115
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-115
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Tre Johnson misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
110-115
Kyshawn George personal foul (Take) (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-115
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Kyshawn George offensive rebound
Wizards personal foul
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Peyton Watson shooting foul (Kyshawn George draws the foul)
Kyshawn George misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Wizards offensive rebound
+1
Kyshawn George makes regular free throw 3 of 3
110-115
+2
Kyshawn George makes two point jump shot
102-101
Peyton Watson personal foul (Tre Johnson draws the foul)
Nuggets turnover
Tre Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Tre Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-115
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Kyshawn George, Bub Carrington, Khris Middleton, Alex Sarr)
Wizards violation
Wizards 60 second timeout
Alex Sarr turnover (offensive foul)
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Alex Sarr offensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses two point stepback jump shot
Khris Middleton personal foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
102-99
+1
Alex Sarr makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-115
Tim Hardaway Jr. shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)
+2
Khris Middleton makes two point layup
110-115
Khris Middleton offensive rebound
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Khris Middleton, Justin Champagnie, Alex Sarr)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards lineup change (Kyshawn George, Will Riley, Khris Middleton, Justin Champagnie, Alex Sarr)
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Khris Middleton, Justin Champagnie, Alex Sarr)
+2
Tre Johnson makes two point jump shot
110-115
Bruce Brown turnover (offensive foul)
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III, Justin Champagnie)
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Kyshawn George, Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III, Justin Champagnie)
Jamal Murray blocks Kyshawn George's two point pullup jump shot
Kyshawn George turnover
Kyshawn George misses two point stepback jump shot
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
110-115
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Zeke Nnaji misses three point jump shot
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point jump shot
110-115
Tre Johnson personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
Marvin Bagley III misses two point floating jump shot
Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
Kyshawn George misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
+1
Kyshawn George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-83
Jamir Watkins offensive rebound
Justin Champagnie misses three point jump shot
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
96-95
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
96-95
Spencer Jones personal foul
Jamal Murray shooting foul
Jamir Watkins shooting foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
Peyton Watson misses two point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Justin Champagnie offensive rebound
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot
86-83
Wizards offensive rebound
Marvin Bagley III misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Nuggets defensive rebound
Justin Champagnie defensive rebound
Jamir Watkins personal foul (Peyton Watson draws the foul)
Peyton Watson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
+2
Zeke Nnaji makes two point jump shot (Jalen Pickett assists)
110-115
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Jalen Pickett, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Zeke Nnaji, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Zeke Nnaji, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Instant replay
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Bub Carrington turnover
Wizards defensive rebound
+3
Bub Carrington makes three point pullup jump shot (Jamir Watkins assists)
86-83
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jamir Watkins personal foul (Peyton Watson draws the foul)
Peyton Watson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Spencer Jones offensive rebound
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Marvin Bagley III, Justin Champagnie)
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-115
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Justin Champagnie, Alex Sarr)
+2
Will Riley makes two point jump shot
110-115
Wizards offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Tre Johnson offensive rebound
+2
Peyton Watson makes two point driving layup
75-74
+2
Alex Sarr makes two point putback dunk
110-115
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
86-83
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Aaron Gordon, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Kyshawn George misses three point jump shot
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets defensive rebound
Bub Carrington offensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
+3
Kyshawn George makes three point jump shot
110-115
Alex Sarr defensive rebound
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards 60 second timeout
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
110-115
Tre Johnson misses two point jump shot
Nuggets defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Wizards personal foul
Jalen Pickett misses three point jump shot
Nuggets defensive rebound
Kyshawn George misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Alex Sarr makes two point jump shot
110-115
Nuggets personal foul
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Aaron Gordon, Peyton Watson, Jalen Pickett)
End of 1st Half.
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
110-115
Alex Sarr personal foul
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 1
110-115
+2
Alex Sarr makes two point jump shot
61-59
Nuggets turnover
Aaron Gordon misses three point jump shot
Khris Middleton misses two point jump shot
Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kyshawn George defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
+1
Alex Sarr makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-115
+2
Spencer Jones makes two point jump shot
63-62
Bub Carrington technical foul (Rim hanging)
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
102-101
+2
Alex Sarr makes two point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)
61-59
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)
61-59
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
88-83
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
88-83
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Aaron Gordon, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-83
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Aaron Gordon, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson)
Wizards turnover
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point driving finger roll layup
63-62
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Tre Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Jamir Watkins offensive rebound
Wizards offensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
40-47
Wizards 60 second timeout
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Khris Middleton, Jamir Watkins, Alex Sarr)
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Wizards offensive rebound
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett)
Justin Champagnie turnover
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
40-45
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
Justin Champagnie misses three point stepback jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
40-43
Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
102-101
Bruce Brown offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+1
Marvin Bagley III makes regular free throw 1 of 1
84-76
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Jamir Watkins, Marvin Bagley III, Justin Champagnie)
Kyshawn George misses two point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
Bruce Brown shooting foul (Justin Champagnie draws the foul)
+1
Justin Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 1
63-62
Tim Hardaway Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Justin Champagnie steals)
Will Riley misses two point turnaround jump shot
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)
29-39
Justin Champagnie misses three point jump shot
Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Justin Champagnie misses two point reverse layup
Kyshawn George misses three point stepback jump shot
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)
29-36
End of 1st Quarter.
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Jalen Pickett misses three point turnaround jump shot
+3
Kyshawn George makes three point stepback jump shot
29-33
+2
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup
24-31
+2
Marvin Bagley III makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kyshawn George assists)
24-29
Wizards defensive rebound
+2
Marvin Bagley III makes two point tip dunk
22-29
Bruce Brown turnover (bad pass) (Marvin Bagley III steals)
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Peyton Watson misses two point turnaround jump shot
Wizards defensive rebound
+1
Marvin Bagley III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-29
+1
Marvin Bagley III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-29
+2
Peyton Watson makes two point driving floating jump shot
18-29
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
+2
Justin Champagnie makes two point driving layup (Marvin Bagley III assists)
18-25
Wizards defensive rebound
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Will Riley offensive rebound
Peyton Watson shooting foul (Will Riley draws the foul)
Bub Carrington misses two point pullup jump shot
Tre Johnson misses two point driving layup
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Marvin Bagley III, Justin Champagnie)
Alex Sarr defensive rebound
Bub Carrington turnover (bad pass) (Spencer Jones steals)
Nuggets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bub Carrington misses three point jump shot
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Kyshawn George, Bub Carrington, Justin Champagnie, Alex Sarr)
+2
Aaron Gordon makes two point driving layup (Peyton Watson assists)
13-21
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Jalen Pickett assists)
13-19
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point driving finger roll layup
11-16
+3
Spencer Jones makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)
9-14
Kyshawn George defensive rebound
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Alex Sarr defensive rebound
Kyshawn George turnover (lost ball) (Aaron Gordon steals)
Kyshawn George defensive rebound
+2
Khris Middleton makes two point tip layup
7-11
Alex Sarr misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Wizards offensive rebound
Wizards offensive rebound
+3
Bub Carrington makes three point jump shot (Alex Sarr assists)
5-9
+3
Peyton Watson makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)
2-9
Aaron Gordon turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Nuggets turnover (shot clock violation)
Kyshawn George blocks Jamal Murray's three point fadeaway jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
Kyshawn George blocks Peyton Watson's two point pullup jump shot
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
Tre Johnson misses three point jump shot
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Kyshawn George, Bub Carrington, Khris Middleton, Alex Sarr)
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wizards vs. Nuggets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Wizards vs. Nuggets
- Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Nuggets favored at -10.5
- Total (Over/Under): 227.5
- Moneyline Odds: Wizards +400, Nuggets -450
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Wizards: 21%
- Nuggets: 79%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Wizards 108-118 Nuggets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Wizards a win probability of 21%, while the Nuggets have a win probability of 79%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Wizards in the NBA game at Ball Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Wizards vs. Nuggets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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