Hornets vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Hornets vs. Warriors NBA game on January 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Hornets
116
136
Chase Center
Warriors
Chase Center
TEAM1234T
Hornets
28 56 27 0 116
Warriors
39 58 33 0 136
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Hornets
    <1%
  • Warriors
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Hornets
28 56 27 0 116
Warriors
39 58 33 0 136
Q4 00:15 Hornets makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:30 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:52 Collin Sexton misses two point pullup jump shot
Q4 1:07 Trayce Jackson-Davis makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:20 Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:43 Pat Connaughton makes two point driving layup (Tre Mann assists)
Q4 1:54 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:07 Pat Connaughton makes two point jump shot (Tre Mann assists)
Q4 2:18 Will Richard misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:22 Collin Sexton misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:15
    +2
    Hornets makes two point jump shot
    111-130
  2. Q4 00:30
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    111-130
  3. Q4 00:52
    Hornets offensive rebound
  4. Q4 00:52
    Collin Sexton misses two point pullup jump shot
  5. Q4 00:52
    Pat Connaughton misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  6. Q4 1:07
    +2
    Trayce Jackson-Davis makes two point jump shot
    111-130
  7. Q4 1:20
    Hornets misses three point jump shot
  8. Q4 1:27
    Pat Connaughton defensive rebound
  9. Q4 1:43
    +2
    Pat Connaughton makes two point driving layup (Tre Mann assists)
    111-130
  10. Q4 1:54
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    111-130
  11. Q4 2:07
    +2
    Pat Connaughton makes two point jump shot (Tre Mann assists)
    111-130
  12. Q4 2:13
    Tre Mann defensive rebound
  13. Q4 2:18
    Will Richard misses three point jump shot
  14. Q4 2:56
    Hornets turnover
  15. Q4 3:07
    Warriors turnover
  16. Q4 3:07
    Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Pat Spencer, Buddy Hield, Will Richard)
  17. Q4 3:22
    Collin Sexton misses two point jump shot
  18. Q4 3:35
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  19. Q4 3:47
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    111-130
  20. Q4 4:15
    Hornets 60 second timeout
  21. Q4 4:15
    Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Tidjane Salaun, Josh Green, Pat Connaughton, Tre Mann)
  22. Q4 4:17
    +3
    Moses Moody makes three point running jump shot (Brandin Podziemski assists)
    105-116
  23. Q4 4:21
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  24. Q4 4:33
    Kon Knueppel defensive rebound
  25. Q4 4:36
    Brandin Podziemski misses three point jump shot
  26. Q4 5:08
    Collin Sexton defensive rebound
  27. Q4 5:11
    Warriors personal foul
  28. Q4 5:17
    Hornets misses two point jump shot
  29. Q4 5:33
    +3
    Will Richard makes three point stepback jump shot (Brandin Podziemski assists)
    105-116
  30. Q4 6:07
    Collin Sexton shooting foul (Al Horford draws the foul)
  31. Q4 6:07
    Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Kon Knueppel, Sion James, Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges)
  32. Q4 6:12
    Hornets misses two point jump shot
  33. Q4 6:19
    De'Anthony Melton misses two point driving layup
  34. Q4 6:35
    Will Richard defensive rebound
  35. Q4 6:42
    Ryan Kalkbrenner defensive rebound
  36. Q4 6:59
    Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Kon Knueppel, Sion James, Brandon Miller, Ryan Kalkbrenner)
  37. Q4 6:59
    Hornets personal foul (Will Richard draws the foul)
  38. Q4 6:59
    Miles Bridges turnover (offensive foul)
  39. Q4 7:09
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  40. Q4 7:31
    Hornets defensive rebound
  41. Q4 7:31
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford)
  42. Q4 7:33
    Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
  43. Q4 8:10
    +3
    Kon Knueppel makes three point jump shot (Brandon Miller assists)
    111-130
  44. Q4 8:24
    Warriors turnover
  45. Q4 8:43
    Hornets turnover
  46. Q4 8:43
    Hornets 60 second timeout
  47. Q4 8:44
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Will Richard, Stephen Curry)
  48. Q4 8:59
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  49. Q4 9:15
    +1
    Tidjane Salaun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    111-130
  50. Q4 9:26
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  51. Q4 9:51
    +2
    Brandon Miller makes two point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)
    98-113
  52. Q4 10:07
    Tidjane Salaun defensive rebound
  53. Q4 10:23
    Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry)
  54. Q4 10:29
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  55. Q4 10:49
    Tidjane Salaun defensive rebound
  56. Q4 11:03
    +1
    LaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    111-130
  57. Q4 11:11
    Brandon Miller misses three point jump shot
  58. Q4 11:31
    Brandon Miller defensive rebound
  59. Q4 11:34
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  60. Q3 00:00
    +1
    De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    111-130
  61. Q4 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton)
  62. Q3 00:00
    +1
    De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    111-130
  63. Q3 00:02
    LaMelo Ball turnover
  64. Q3 00:19
    Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Kon Knueppel, Sion James, LaMelo Ball, Grant Williams)
  65. Q3 00:19
    Collin Sexton personal foul
  66. Q3 00:19
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    111-130
  67. Q3 00:32
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  68. Q3 00:33
    +1
    Collin Sexton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    111-130
  69. Q3 00:33
    Collin Sexton misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  70. Q3 00:33
    Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Tidjane Salaun, Sion James, Grant Williams, Josh Green)
  71. Q3 00:37
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    111-130
  72. Q3 00:45
    Will Richard offensive rebound
  73. Q3 00:49
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  74. Q3 00:59
    +3
    Collin Sexton makes three point jump shot (Grant Williams assists)
    111-130
  75. Q3 1:28
    De'Anthony Melton personal foul (Take) (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)
  76. Q3 1:28
    +1
    LaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    111-130
  77. Q3 1:28
    +1
    LaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    111-130
  78. Q3 1:51
    Warriors personal foul
  79. Q3 1:51
    +1
    Collin Sexton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    111-130
  80. Q3 1:51
    Hornets defensive rebound
  81. Q3 1:51
    +1
    Collin Sexton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    111-130
  82. Q3 1:52
    Brandin Podziemski misses three point jump shot
  83. Q3 2:41
    Hornets personal foul
  84. Q3 2:48
    +1
    De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    111-130
  85. Q3 2:48
    Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Tidjane Salaun, LaMelo Ball, Grant Williams, Josh Green)
  86. Q3 3:41
    +2
    De'Anthony Melton makes two point jump shot
    111-130
  87. Q3 3:41
    Hornets 60 second timeout
  88. Q3 3:41
    Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Kon Knueppel, LaMelo Ball, Grant Williams, Miles Bridges)
  89. Q3 3:41
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford)
  90. Q3 3:41
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford)
  91. Q3 3:55
    Hornets misses two point jump shot
  92. Q3 4:20
    Hornets misses three point jump shot
  93. Q3 4:53
    Hornets personal foul
  94. Q3 4:53
    Hornets lineup change (Kon Knueppel, LaMelo Ball, Grant Williams, Josh Green, Miles Bridges)
  95. Q3 5:05
    +2
    De'Anthony Melton makes two point jump shot
    111-130
  96. Q3 5:16
    Stephen Curry defensive rebound
  97. Q3 5:27
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    111-130
  98. Q3 5:52
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford)
  99. Q3 5:52
    Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Kon Knueppel, Grant Williams, Josh Green, Miles Bridges)
  100. Q3 6:20
    +2
    Hornets makes two point jump shot
    111-130
  101. Q3 6:27
    Warriors turnover
  102. Q3 6:41
    Collin Sexton defensive rebound
  103. Q3 7:03
    Instant replay (Challenge)
  104. Q3 7:03
    +2
    Brandon Miller makes two point driving layup
    111-130
  105. Q3 7:03
    Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Kon Knueppel, Josh Green, Miles Bridges, Ryan Kalkbrenner)
  106. Q3 7:03
    Warriors personal foul
  107. Q3 7:06
    Kon Knueppel defensive rebound
  108. Q3 7:26
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  109. Q3 7:28
    +2
    Hornets makes two point jump shot
    111-130
  110. Q3 7:28
    Quinten Post shooting foul (Ryan Kalkbrenner draws the foul)
  111. Q3 7:36
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  112. Q3 7:44
    Hornets misses three point jump shot
  113. Q3 7:50
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  114. Q3 7:50
    Hornets 60 second timeout
  115. Q3 7:55
    Hornets misses two point jump shot
  116. Q3 8:16
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  117. Q3 8:26
    +3
    Hornets makes three point jump shot
    98-113
  118. Q3 8:38
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  119. Q3 9:44
    +1
    Sion James makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    94-110
  120. Q3 9:44
    +1
    Sion James makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    111-130
  121. Q3 10:14
    +3
    Hornets makes three point jump shot
    94-110
  122. Q3 10:32
    +3
    Stephen Curry makes three point jump shot
    111-130
  123. Q3 11:04
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    60-71
  124. Q3 11:23
    Brandon Miller defensive rebound
  125. Q3 11:34
    Hornets misses two point jump shot
  126. Q3 11:48
    Warriors personal foul
  127. Q3 12:00
    Hornets lineup change (Kon Knueppel, Sion James, Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges, Ryan Kalkbrenner)
  128. Q3 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Moses Moody, Draymond Green, Will Richard, Stephen Curry)
  129. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  130. Q2 00:02
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    63-71
  131. Q2 00:07
    +2
    Hornets makes two point jump shot
    84-97
  132. Q2 00:18
    Kon Knueppel offensive rebound
  133. Q2 00:21
    Hornets misses three point jump shot
  134. Q2 00:55
    Buddy Hield offensive rebound
  135. Q2 1:07
    Brandon Miller offensive rebound
  136. Q2 1:13
    +2
    Brandon Miller makes two point tip layup
    57-69
  137. Q2 1:22
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  138. Q2 1:28
    Hornets turnover
  139. Q2 1:54
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    81-90
  140. Q2 2:16
    Ryan Kalkbrenner defensive rebound
  141. Q2 2:19
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  142. Q2 2:29
    Buddy Hield defensive rebound
  143. Q2 2:44
    Hornets lineup change (Kon Knueppel, LaMelo Ball, Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges, Ryan Kalkbrenner)
  144. Q2 2:47
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  145. Q2 3:03
    +2
    Hornets makes two point jump shot
    94-110
  146. Q2 3:03
    Hornets misses two point jump shot
  147. Q2 3:23
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  148. Q2 3:34
    Draymond Green personal foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)
  149. Q2 3:36
    Hornets offensive rebound
  150. Q2 3:36
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  151. Q2 4:01
    +1
    Buddy Hield makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    52-63
  152. Q2 4:01
    Hornets lineup change (Kon Knueppel, LaMelo Ball, Grant Williams, Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges)
  153. Q2 4:24
    +2
    Hornets makes two point jump shot
    52-63
  154. Q2 4:33
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  155. Q2 4:53
    +2
    Hornets makes two point jump shot
    52-63
  156. Q2 4:53
    Miles Bridges offensive rebound
  157. Q2 5:00
    Hornets misses two point jump shot
  158. Q2 5:21
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    52-63
  159. Q2 5:39
    +2
    Hornets makes two point jump shot
    52-63
  160. Q2 5:54
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    52-63
  161. Q2 6:10
    Warriors defensive rebound
  162. Q2 6:24
    Hornets personal foul
  163. Q2 6:27
    Buddy Hield personal foul
  164. Q2 6:27
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford)
  165. Q2 6:27
    Hornets personal foul
  166. Q2 6:38
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    42-50
  167. Q2 6:43
    De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
  168. Q2 6:51
    Will Richard offensive rebound
  169. Q2 7:19
    Hornets misses two point jump shot
  170. Q2 7:53
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Buddy Hield, Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford)
  171. Q2 8:11
    Brandon Miller defensive rebound
  172. Q2 8:29
    Kon Knueppel offensive foul (Stephen Curry draws the foul)
  173. Q2 8:29
    Kon Knueppel turnover (offensive foul)
  174. Q2 8:29
    Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Sion James, Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges, Ryan Kalkbrenner)
  175. Q2 8:38
    Kon Knueppel defensive rebound
  176. Q2 8:47
    Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Kon Knueppel, Sion James, Brandon Miller, Ryan Kalkbrenner)
  177. Q2 8:54
    Tidjane Salaun misses two point jump shot
  178. Q2 8:54
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  179. Q2 8:54
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton)
  180. Q2 9:42
    Hornets offensive rebound
  181. Q2 9:43
    Collin Sexton misses three point jump shot
  182. Q2 9:50
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    42-50
  183. Q2 10:05
    +3
    Hornets makes three point jump shot
    42-50
  184. Q2 10:18
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    34-45
  185. Q2 10:38
    +2
    Hornets makes two point jump shot
    42-50
  186. Q2 10:54
    Sion James defensive rebound
  187. Q2 10:56
    Hornets personal foul
  188. Q2 11:05
    Stephen Curry offensive rebound
  189. Q2 11:19
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  190. Q2 11:25
    Hornets misses three point jump shot
  191. Q2 11:40
    Gary Payton II turnover (offensive foul)
  192. Q2 11:50
    +2
    Hornets makes two point jump shot
    42-50
  193. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  194. Q2 12:00
    Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Tidjane Salaun, Kon Knueppel, Sion James, Ryan Kalkbrenner)
  195. Q2 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry)
  196. Q1 00:13
    +3
    De'Anthony Melton makes three point jump shot (Will Richard assists)
    28-39
  197. Q1 00:32
    +2
    LaMelo Ball makes two point driving layup
    28-36
  198. Q1 00:39
    Grant Williams misses three point jump shot
  199. Q1 00:42
    Kon Knueppel offensive rebound
  200. Q1 00:42
    Hornets offensive rebound
  201. Q1 00:43
    Buddy Hield blocks Kon Knueppel's two point driving layup
  202. Q1 1:08
    Buddy Hield blocks LaMelo Ball's two point driving layup
  203. Q1 1:13
    LaMelo Ball defensive rebound
  204. Q1 1:33
    Warriors turnover
  205. Q1 1:34
    Buddy Hield offensive rebound
  206. Q1 1:34
    +2
    Buddy Hield makes two point tip layup
    26-33
  207. Q1 1:42
    De'Anthony Melton misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
  208. Q1 1:54
    +2
    Grant Williams makes two point driving layup (Kon Knueppel assists)
    26-31
  209. Q1 2:29
    Grant Williams turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  210. Q1 2:35
    Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Tidjane Salaun, Kon Knueppel, LaMelo Ball, Grant Williams)
  211. Q1 2:45
    Buddy Hield misses three point pullup jump shot
  212. Q1 2:45
    Warriors offensive rebound
  213. Q1 3:21
    Gary Payton II turnover (offensive foul)
  214. Q1 3:21
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford)
  215. Q1 3:26
    Al Horford blocks Brandon Miller's two point driving layup
  216. Q1 3:41
    Brandon Miller defensive rebound
  217. Q1 3:54
    LaMelo Ball misses three point pullup jump shot
  218. Q1 4:01
    Josh Green defensive rebound
  219. Q1 4:30
    +3
    Brandin Podziemski makes three point jump shot (Gary Payton II assists)
    19-29
  220. Q1 4:32
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford)
  221. Q1 5:04
    +2
    Stephen Curry makes two point cutting layup (Draymond Green assists)
    17-26
  222. Q1 5:09
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford)
  223. Q1 5:22
    +2
    Miles Bridges makes two point driving floating jump shot
    17-24
  224. Q1 5:37
    +3
    Al Horford makes three point jump shot (Moses Moody assists)
    15-24
  225. Q1 6:15
    +2
    Stephen Curry makes two point driving finger roll layup
    12-21
  226. Q1 6:25
    +2
    Grant Williams makes two point turnaround jump shot (Brandon Miller assists)
    12-19
  227. Q1 6:42
    Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Grant Williams, Josh Green, Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges)
  228. Q1 6:44
    +3
    Moses Moody makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
    10-19
  229. Q1 7:14
    +2
    Will Richard makes two point running finger roll layup
    10-16
  230. Q1 7:17
    Kon Knueppel turnover (bad pass) (Will Richard steals)
  231. Q1 7:35
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  232. Q1 7:38
    Miles Bridges misses three point pullup jump shot
  233. Q1 8:05
    +3
    Brandon Miller makes three point running pullup jump shot (Kon Knueppel assists)
    10-14
  234. Q1 8:09
    Kon Knueppel defensive rebound
  235. Q1 8:21
    Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
  236. Q1 8:21
    Kon Knueppel offensive rebound
  237. Q1 8:22
    Miles Bridges misses two point driving layup
  238. Q1 8:22
    +2
    Hornets makes two point jump shot
    34-45
  239. Q1 8:38
    +3
    Quinten Post makes three point jump shot (Moses Moody assists)
    5-14
  240. Q1 9:14
    +3
    Draymond Green makes three point jump shot (Will Richard assists)
    5-11
  241. Q1 9:24
    Brandon Miller offensive foul (Charge) (Will Richard draws the foul)
  242. Q1 9:24
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  243. Q1 9:24
    +2
    Hornets makes two point jump shot
    28-39
  244. Q1 9:24
    Warriors personal foul
  245. Q1 9:30
    Draymond Green turnover (bad pass) (Sion James steals)
  246. Q1 10:02
    +3
    Draymond Green makes three point jump shot (Quinten Post assists)
    2-8
  247. Q1 10:13
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  248. Q1 10:40
    +2
    Brandon Miller makes two point pullup jump shot (Ryan Kalkbrenner assists)
    2-3
  249. Q1 11:07
    +3
    Moses Moody makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
    0-3
  250. Q1 11:20
    Sion James misses three point jump shot
  251. Q1 11:34
    Miles Bridges offensive rebound
  252. Q1 11:43
    Stephen Curry misses three point pullup jump shot
  253. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
  254. Q1 12:00
    Ryan Kalkbrenner vs. Quinten Post (Warriors gains possession)
Box Score
Hornets
PosPlayerPts
Warriors
PosPlayerPts

Hornets vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Hornets vs. Warriors
  • Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Warriors favored at -7.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 237
  • Moneyline Odds: Hornets +240, Warriors -260

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Hornets: 25%
  • Warriors: 75%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Hornets 113-121 Warriors.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Hornets a win probability of 25%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 75%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Hornets in the NBA game at Chase Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Hornets vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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