Lakers vs. Trail Blazers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lakers vs. Trail Blazers NBA game on January 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Lakers
116
132
Moda Center
Trail Blazers
Moda Center
TEAM1234T
Lakers
27 34 29 26 116
Trail Blazers
40 31 36 25 132
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Lakers
    10%
  • Trail Blazers
    90%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Lakers
27 34 29 26 116
Trail Blazers
40 31 36 25 132
Q4 1:06 Bronny James misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:19 Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:22 Nick Smith Jr. makes two point running layup (Drew Timme assists)
Q4 2:48 Drew Timme makes two point driving layup (Nick Smith Jr. assists)
Q4 3:05 Caleb Love makes two point driving layup
Q4 3:57 Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:13 Caleb Love makes two point jump shot
Q4 4:44 Maxi Kleber makes two point jump shot (Jake LaRavia assists)
Q4 5:25 Kobe Bufkin misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:18 Shaedon Sharpe misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q4
  1. Q4 00:22
    Trail Blazers personal foul
  2. Q4 00:44
    Javonte Cooke defensive rebound
  3. Q4 1:00
    Rayan Rupert turnover
  4. Q4 1:06
    Bronny James misses three point jump shot
  5. Q4 1:19
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    116-132
  6. Q4 1:40
    Kobe Bufkin defensive rebound
  7. Q4 2:06
    Drew Timme turnover
  8. Q4 2:22
    +2
    Nick Smith Jr. makes two point running layup (Drew Timme assists)
    110-130
  9. Q4 2:48
    +2
    Drew Timme makes two point driving layup (Nick Smith Jr. assists)
    108-130
  10. Q4 3:05
    +2
    Caleb Love makes two point driving layup
    108-130
  11. Q4 3:28
    Lakers turnover
  12. Q4 3:40
    Lakers lineup change (Drew Timme, Nick Smith Jr., Kobe Bufkin, Dalton Knecht, Bronny James)
  13. Q4 3:57
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  14. Q4 4:13
    +2
    Caleb Love makes two point jump shot
    106-125
  15. Q4 4:44
    +2
    Maxi Kleber makes two point jump shot (Jake LaRavia assists)
    106-125
  16. Q4 4:55
    Shaedon Sharpe personal foul (Kobe Bufkin draws the foul)
  17. Q4 4:55
    Lakers lineup change (Drew Timme, Jake LaRavia, Maxi Kleber, Kobe Bufkin, Dalton Knecht)
  18. Q4 5:25
    Kobe Bufkin misses three point jump shot
  19. Q4 5:40
    Lakers 60 second timeout
  20. Q4 5:40
    Lakers lineup change (Drew Timme, Jake LaRavia, Maxi Kleber, Kobe Bufkin, Rui Hachimura)
  21. Q4 6:03
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  22. Q4 6:24
    Robert Williams III defensive rebound
  23. Q4 7:18
    Shaedon Sharpe misses three point jump shot
  24. Q4 7:39
    Gabe Vincent turnover
  25. Q4 7:46
    +1
    LeBron James makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    101-115
  26. Q4 7:46
    Robert Williams III personal foul
  27. Q4 7:56
    Trail Blazers personal foul
  28. Q4 7:56
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Rayan Rupert, Toumani Camara, Shaedon Sharpe, Robert Williams III, Caleb Love)
  29. Q4 7:56
    Lakers lineup change (Drew Timme, Rui Hachimura, LeBron James, Marcus Smart, Gabe Vincent)
  30. Q4 8:00
    Toumani Camara blocks Jake LaRavia's two point jump shot
  31. Q4 8:22
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Rayan Rupert, Toumani Camara, Robert Williams III, Caleb Love, Jrue Holiday)
  32. Q4 8:41
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    104-115
  33. Q4 8:51
    +1
    Donovan Clingan makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
    100-115
  34. Q4 8:51
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Rayan Rupert, Toumani Camara, Caleb Love, Donovan Clingan, Jrue Holiday)
  35. Q4 8:51
    Trail Blazers offensive rebound
  36. Q4 8:51
    Lakers lineup change (Drew Timme, Jake LaRavia, LeBron James, Marcus Smart, Gabe Vincent)
  37. Q4 8:51
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Sidy Cissoko, Rayan Rupert, Toumani Camara, Caleb Love, Donovan Clingan)
  38. Q4 9:00
    Lakers lineup change (Drew Timme, Jake LaRavia, Kobe Bufkin, LeBron James, Gabe Vincent)
  39. Q4 9:07
    Drew Timme defensive rebound
  40. Q4 9:09
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  41. Q4 9:24
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    104-115
  42. Q4 9:32
    Sidy Cissoko misses three point stepback jump shot
  43. Q4 9:43
    Drew Timme offensive rebound
  44. Q4 9:43
    Toumani Camara defensive rebound
  45. Q4 9:48
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  46. Q4 9:55
    Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
  47. Q4 10:12
    Lakers personal foul
  48. Q4 10:21
    +2
    Sidy Cissoko makes two point jump shot (Rayan Rupert assists)
    95-112
  49. Q4 10:52
    Toumani Camara misses three point jump shot
  50. Q4 10:56
    Drew Timme turnover
  51. Q4 11:10
    Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
  52. Q4 11:13
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  53. Q4 11:24
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  54. Q4 11:41
    +3
    LeBron James makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)
    93-108
  55. Q3 00:00
    Lakers personal foul
  56. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  57. Q4 12:00
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Sidy Cissoko, Rayan Rupert, Toumani Camara, Donovan Clingan, Jrue Holiday)
  58. Q3 00:02
    +2
    LeBron James makes two point driving finger roll layup
    104-115
  59. Q3 00:34
    Jerami Grant offensive rebound
  60. Q3 00:39
    Caleb Love misses two point jump shot
  61. Q3 00:39
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  62. Q3 1:26
    Caleb Love misses two point pullup jump shot
  63. Q3 1:45
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Sidy Cissoko, Jerami Grant, Rayan Rupert, Robert Williams III, Caleb Love)
  64. Q3 1:46
    +2
    Drew Timme makes two point driving hook shot
    116-132
  65. Q3 2:04
    Lakers defensive rebound
  66. Q3 2:26
    +2
    Rui Hachimura makes two point jump shot (Drew Timme assists)
    86-102
  67. Q3 2:37
    Shaedon Sharpe turnover
  68. Q3 2:37
    Lakers lineup change (Drew Timme, Jarred Vanderbilt, Kobe Bufkin, Rui Hachimura, LeBron James)
  69. Q3 3:16
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    104-115
  70. Q3 3:27
    Jarred Vanderbilt kicked ball violation
  71. Q3 3:35
    Instant replay
  72. Q3 3:35
    Instant replay (Request)
  73. Q3 3:35
    Instant replay (Request)
  74. Q3 3:35
    Instant replay
  75. Q3 3:35
    Marcus Smart personal foul (Loose ball)
  76. Q3 3:35
    Instant replay
  77. Q3 3:38
    Shaedon Sharpe misses two point alley-oop dunk
  78. Q3 4:02
    +1
    Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    104-115
  79. Q3 4:02
    Jerami Grant misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  80. Q3 4:02
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Duop Reath, Shaedon Sharpe, Robert Williams III, Caleb Love)
  81. Q3 4:14
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  82. Q3 4:43
    Sidy Cissoko defensive rebound
  83. Q3 4:52
    Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
  84. Q3 5:17
    +3
    Rui Hachimura makes three point stepback jump shot
    104-115
  85. Q3 5:33
    Trail Blazers offensive rebound
  86. Q3 5:33
    Lakers 60 second timeout
  87. Q3 5:33
    Donovan Clingan personal foul (Loose ball) (Marcus Smart draws the foul)
  88. Q3 5:33
    Lakers lineup change (Drew Timme, Jarred Vanderbilt, Kobe Bufkin, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart)
  89. Q3 5:48
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  90. Q3 5:48
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  91. Q3 6:05
    +3
    Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot (Shaedon Sharpe assists)
    77-96
  92. Q3 6:42
    Shaedon Sharpe personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)
  93. Q3 6:42
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Sidy Cissoko, Jerami Grant, Shaedon Sharpe, Caleb Love, Donovan Clingan)
  94. Q3 6:42
    Marcus Smart misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  95. Q3 6:42
    Trail Blazers defensive rebound
  96. Q3 6:53
    Donovan Clingan offensive rebound
  97. Q3 6:55
    Jrue Holiday misses three point jump shot
  98. Q3 7:01
    Jump ball. (Jrue Holiday gains possession)
  99. Q3 7:14
    Gabe Vincent turnover (offensive foul)
  100. Q3 7:31
    +3
    Shaedon Sharpe makes three point jump shot (Caleb Love assists)
    74-89
  101. Q3 7:42
    Toumani Camara shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)
  102. Q3 7:42
    +1
    Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-132
  103. Q3 7:42
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Sidy Cissoko, Shaedon Sharpe, Caleb Love, Donovan Clingan, Jrue Holiday)
  104. Q3 8:54
    Instant replay (Challenge)
  105. Q3 8:56
    Maxi Kleber offensive rebound
  106. Q3 9:04
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  107. Q3 9:20
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  108. Q3 9:37
    +3
    Toumani Camara makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
    77-96
  109. Q3 9:44
    Lakers turnover
  110. Q3 9:57
    Lakers turnover
  111. Q3 10:24
    +2
    Shaedon Sharpe makes two point jump shot (Donovan Clingan assists)
    77-96
  112. Q3 10:55
    Maxi Kleber personal foul (Shaedon Sharpe draws the foul)
  113. Q3 10:55
    +1
    Shaedon Sharpe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-132
  114. Q3 11:35
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  115. Q3 11:50
    Donovan Clingan turnover
  116. Q2 00:00
    Lakers offensive rebound
  117. Q3 12:00
    Lakers lineup change (Jake LaRavia, Maxi Kleber, LeBron James, Marcus Smart, Gabe Vincent)
  118. Q3 12:00
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Sidy Cissoko, Toumani Camara, Shaedon Sharpe, Donovan Clingan, Jrue Holiday)
  119. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  120. Q2 00:03
    +2
    Shaedon Sharpe makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Caleb Love assists)
    61-71
  121. Q2 00:07
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  122. Q2 00:14
    Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
  123. Q2 00:17
    Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
  124. Q2 00:37
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  125. Q2 00:56
    Sidy Cissoko personal foul (Loose ball) (Jake LaRavia draws the foul)
  126. Q2 00:56
    Lakers defensive rebound
  127. Q2 00:56
    +1
    Jake LaRavia makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    77-96
  128. Q2 1:03
    Sidy Cissoko offensive rebound
  129. Q2 1:12
    Lakers turnover
  130. Q2 1:17
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  131. Q2 1:32
    Duop Reath shooting foul (Rui Hachimura draws the foul)
  132. Q2 1:32
    +1
    Rui Hachimura makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    74-89
  133. Q2 1:32
    Lakers lineup change (Drew Timme, Jake LaRavia, Kobe Bufkin, Rui Hachimura, LeBron James)
  134. Q2 2:03
    +2
    Jarred Vanderbilt makes two point jump shot
    88-102
  135. Q2 2:37
    Kobe Bufkin shooting foul (Robert Williams III draws the foul)
  136. Q2 2:54
    +2
    Rui Hachimura makes two point jump shot
    49-60
  137. Q2 3:12
    Rui Hachimura personal foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)
  138. Q2 3:12
    Lakers personal foul
  139. Q2 3:19
    Duop Reath defensive rebound
  140. Q2 3:20
    Maxi Kleber offensive rebound
  141. Q2 3:30
    Marcus Smart defensive rebound
  142. Q2 3:39
    Shaedon Sharpe shooting foul (Kobe Bufkin draws the foul)
  143. Q2 3:39
    +1
    Kobe Bufkin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    88-102
  144. Q2 3:39
    +1
    Kobe Bufkin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    104-115
  145. Q2 4:29
    +3
    Jerami Grant makes three point running jump shot (Caleb Love assists)
    77-96
  146. Q2 4:38
    Jarred Vanderbilt turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Love steals)
  147. Q2 4:48
    +2
    Jerami Grant makes two point driving layup
    77-96
  148. Q2 5:14
    Caleb Love turnover (bad pass) (Jake LaRavia steals)
  149. Q2 5:24
    Duop Reath defensive rebound
  150. Q2 5:26
    Marcus Smart misses two point driving finger roll layup
  151. Q2 5:42
    +3
    Caleb Love makes three point jump shot (Jerami Grant assists)
    77-96
  152. Q2 5:51
    Robert Williams III shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)
  153. Q2 5:51
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    116-132
  154. Q2 5:51
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Duop Reath, Shaedon Sharpe, Robert Williams III, Caleb Love)
  155. Q2 5:58
    Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
  156. Q2 6:53
    Instant replay
  157. Q2 6:53
    Lakers offensive rebound
  158. Q2 6:53
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  159. Q2 6:53
    +1
    LeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-132
  160. Q2 7:08
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    116-132
  161. Q2 7:17
    Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
  162. Q2 7:19
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  163. Q2 7:43
    +2
    Marcus Smart makes two point jump shot
    116-132
  164. Q2 7:51
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  165. Q2 8:05
    Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
  166. Q2 8:22
    Drew Timme shooting foul (Sidy Cissoko draws the foul)
  167. Q2 9:09
    Trail Blazers technical foul (Defensive three second)
  168. Q2 9:59
    Trail Blazers offensive rebound
  169. Q2 10:13
    +2
    Drew Timme makes two point floating jump shot (Bronny James assists)
    32-43
  170. Q2 12:00
    Start of 2nd Quarter
  171. Q1 00:28
    +2
    LeBron James makes two point driving layup
    27-37
  172. Q1 1:10
    Jarred Vanderbilt personal foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)
  173. Q1 1:39
    +3
    Caleb Love makes three point stepback jump shot
    25-33
  174. Q1 2:02
    Lakers lineup change (Drew Timme, Jarred Vanderbilt, Nick Smith Jr., Bronny James, LeBron James)
  175. Q1 2:10
    Drew Timme shooting foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)
  176. Q1 2:10
    +1
    Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    25-30
  177. Q1 2:26
    +2
    Drew Timme makes two point driving hook shot
    25-28
  178. Q1 2:50
    +1
    Caleb Love makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    23-27
  179. Q1 2:50
    Nick Smith Jr. personal foul (Caleb Love draws the foul)
  180. Q1 2:57
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Duop Reath, Rayan Rupert, Caleb Love, Donovan Clingan)
  181. Q1 3:08
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Duop Reath, Rayan Rupert, Robert Williams III, Caleb Love)
  182. Q1 3:08
    Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
  183. Q1 3:08
    Lakers 60 second timeout
  184. Q1 3:08
    Duop Reath turnover (offensive foul)
  185. Q1 3:20
    Nick Smith Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Shaedon Sharpe steals)
  186. Q1 3:29
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    116-132
  187. Q1 3:43
    +2
    Jarred Vanderbilt makes two point alley-oop dunk (Nick Smith Jr. assists)
    23-22
  188. Q1 3:49
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  189. Q1 4:05
    Drew Timme shooting foul (Robert Williams III draws the foul)
  190. Q1 4:05
    +1
    Robert Williams III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    21-21
  191. Q1 4:24
    Robert Williams III turnover (bad pass) (Rui Hachimura steals)
  192. Q1 4:55
    Duop Reath offensive rebound
  193. Q1 4:55
    Nick Smith Jr. shooting foul (Duop Reath draws the foul)
  194. Q1 4:55
    +1
    Duop Reath makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    16-20
  195. Q1 5:05
    Duop Reath defensive rebound
  196. Q1 5:14
    Caleb Love turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)
  197. Q1 5:29
    Marcus Smart misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  198. Q1 5:29
    Jerami Grant shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)
  199. Q1 5:29
    Lakers lineup change (Drew Timme, Jake LaRavia, Nick Smith Jr., Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart)
  200. Q1 5:46
    +1
    Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    14-17
  201. Q1 5:46
    Trail Blazers offensive rebound
  202. Q1 5:53
    Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
  203. Q1 6:10
    Trail Blazers offensive rebound
  204. Q1 6:10
    Jake LaRavia personal foul (Sidy Cissoko draws the foul)
  205. Q1 6:10
    Sidy Cissoko misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  206. Q1 6:12
    Sidy Cissoko defensive rebound
  207. Q1 6:37
    Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
  208. Q1 6:39
    Marcus Smart misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
  209. Q1 6:55
    Donovan Clingan misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  210. Q1 6:55
    Lakers lineup change (Jake LaRavia, Maxi Kleber, Rui Hachimura, LeBron James, Marcus Smart)
  211. Q1 6:55
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Sidy Cissoko, Toumani Camara, Shaedon Sharpe, Caleb Love, Donovan Clingan)
  212. Q1 7:04
    +2
    Maxi Kleber makes two point cutting dunk (Jake LaRavia assists)
    14-11
  213. Q1 7:12
    Toumani Camara misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  214. Q1 7:12
    Jake LaRavia shooting foul (Toumani Camara draws the foul)
  215. Q1 7:14
    Trail Blazers offensive rebound
  216. Q1 7:26
    Maxi Kleber misses three point jump shot
  217. Q1 7:44
    +2
    Donovan Clingan makes two point cutting dunk (Jrue Holiday assists)
    12-10
  218. Q1 8:14
    Shaedon Sharpe turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  219. Q1 8:24
    +2
    Maxi Kleber makes two point driving finger roll layup (LeBron James assists)
    10-8
  220. Q1 8:49
    Donovan Clingan offensive rebound
  221. Q1 8:49
    Gabe Vincent shooting foul (Donovan Clingan draws the foul)
  222. Q1 8:56
    Marcus Smart misses two point driving floating jump shot
  223. Q1 9:03
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  224. Q1 9:11
    Shaedon Sharpe misses two point driving layup
  225. Q1 9:23
    +3
    Marcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Maxi Kleber assists)
    8-5
  226. Q1 9:33
    Marcus Smart defensive rebound
  227. Q1 9:37
    Shaedon Sharpe misses three point pullup jump shot
  228. Q1 9:47
    Gabe Vincent misses two point driving floating jump shot
  229. Q1 10:00
    Trail Blazers offensive rebound
  230. Q1 10:00
    +1
    Shaedon Sharpe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    5-5
  231. Q1 10:15
    +3
    Maxi Kleber makes three point jump shot (Jake LaRavia assists)
    5-4
  232. Q1 10:54
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  233. Q1 10:54
    Trail Blazers defensive rebound
  234. Q1 11:13
    Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
  235. Q1 11:14
    LeBron James misses two point running reverse layup
  236. Q1 11:40
    +1
    Maxi Kleber makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    1-0
  237. Q1 11:40
    Donovan Clingan shooting foul (Maxi Kleber draws the foul)
  238. Q1 12:00
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Sidy Cissoko, Toumani Camara, Shaedon Sharpe, Donovan Clingan, Jrue Holiday)
  239. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Lakers
PosPlayerPts
Trail Blazers
PosPlayerPts

Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lakers vs. Trail Blazers
  • Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Moda Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Trail Blazers favored at -3.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lakers +130, Trail Blazers -145

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lakers: 37%
  • Trail Blazers: 63%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Lakers 109-113 Trail Blazers.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lakers a win probability of 37%, while the Trail Blazers have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Trail Blazers are more likely to beat the Lakers in the NBA game at Moda Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lakers vs. Trail Blazers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.