Capitals vs. Islanders prediction: Washington favored to win Sunday's NHL matchup [11/30/2025]

The NY Islanders will square off with the Washington Capitals, in what is expected to be a tight NHL game, at UBS Arena on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Capitals a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Islanders.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's Capitals vs. Islanders matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Caps vs. Isles prediction: Who will win and cover?

As part of Dimers' NHL predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, puck line, and over/under probabilities for Sunday's clash between the Capitals and Islanders.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Capitals a 54% chance of beating the Islanders.

According to our model, the Islanders (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Capitals vs. Islanders odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Capitals	Islanders
Puck Line	-1.5 (+195)	+1.5 (-220)
Moneyline	-130	+110
Total	o6 (-115)	u6 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Capitals vs. Islanders picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Islanders +1.5	-220
Moneyline	Islanders	+110
Total	Under 6	-105

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6 total goals.

Capitals vs. Islanders player props

Who will score a goal in Capitals vs. Islanders?

According to our model, Bo Horvat is most likely to score an anytime goal in Capitals vs. Islanders.

Our projections give Horvat a 34.7% chance of scoring a goal at UBS Arena, while the star is a 7.4% chance of registering the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Washington Capitals

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Alex Ovechkin	33.9%
Tom Wilson	30.9%
Dylan Strome	28.5%
Aliaksei Protas	28.1%
Connor McMichael	22.6%

NY Islanders

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Bo Horvat	34.7%
Anders Lee	27.8%
Mathew Barzal	27.6%
Max Shabanov	23.1%
Emil Heineman	21.9%

First goal scorer predictions

Washington Capitals

Player	First Goal Probability
Alex Ovechkin	6.7%
Tom Wilson	6.3%
Dylan Strome	5.7%
Aliaksei Protas	5.5%
Connor McMichael	4.2%

NY Islanders

Player	First Goal Probability
Bo Horvat	7.4%
Mathew Barzal	5.8%
Anders Lee	5.5%
Max Shabanov	4.2%
Emil Heineman	3.6%

Caps vs. Isles game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between the Islanders and Capitals at UBS Arena is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Washington Capitals vs. NY Islanders
• Date: Sunday, November 30, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: UBS Arena

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Conclusion

We predict the Capitals, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Islanders on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Capitals vs. Islanders insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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