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Capitals vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Islanders NHL game on November 30, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Capitals
4
1
Nov 30, 6PM UBS Arena
Islanders
Nov 30, 6PM UBS Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Capitals
1124
Islanders
0011
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
CapitalsWSH
Win %
100%
0%
IslandersNYI
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Capitals
1124
Islanders
0011
P3 19:28 Goal scored by Alex Ovechkin
P3 18:49 Goal scored by Aliaksei Protas assisted by Tom Wilson and Matt Roy
P3 18:48 Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P3 18:43 Shot missed by Matt Roy
P3 16:56 Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Logan Thompson
P3 14:03 Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
P3 13:41 Power play - Goal scored by Bo Horvat
P3 13:39 Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Logan Thompson
P3 13:27 Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Logan Thompson
P3 11:18 Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Logan Thompson
P3 10:02 Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Anthony Duclair
P3 07:30 Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Logan Thompson
P3 06:20 Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 05:31 Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Logan Thompson
P3 05:26 Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Logan Thompson
P3 05:13 Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 04:54 Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P3 03:43 Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P3 03:16 Shot missed by Travis Mitchell
P3 02:26 Power play - Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:29
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
P3 19:28
GOAL
Goal scored by Alex Ovechkin
4-1
P3 18:49
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
P3 18:49
GOAL
Goal scored by Aliaksei Protas assisted by Tom Wilson and Matt Roy
3-1
P3 18:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P3 18:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Roy
P3 18:28
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
P3 18:28
Stoppage - Icing
P3 18:08
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
P3 18:08
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
P3 17:58
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
P3 17:58
Stoppage - Icing
P3 17:22
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P3 17:22
Stoppage - Visitor Timeout
P3 17:22
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 16:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Logan Thompson
P3 16:22
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P3 16:22
Stoppage - Icing
P3 15:47
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
P3 15:47
Stoppage - Icing
P3 14:57
Giveaway by Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P3 14:18
Giveaway by Simon Holmstrom in neutral zone
P3 14:05
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
P3 14:05
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 14:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
P3 13:43
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
P3 13:41
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Bo Horvat
2-1
P3 13:39
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Logan Thompson
P3 13:29
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
P3 13:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 13:27
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Logan Thompson
P3 12:24
Shorthanded - Connor McMichael won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P3 12:24
Stoppage - TV timeout
P3 12:24
Penalty to Anthony Beauvillier 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Tony DeAngelo)
P3 11:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Logan Thompson
P3 10:57
Giveaway by Aliaksei Protas in neutral zone
P3 10:02
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in defensive zone
P3 10:02
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
P3 10:02
SHOT
Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Anthony Duclair
P3 07:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Logan Thompson
P3 06:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 05:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Logan Thompson
P3 05:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Logan Thompson
P3 05:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 04:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P3 03:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P3 03:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Travis Mitchell
P3 02:26
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
P3 01:34
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P3 01:28
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 01:09
SHOT
Power play - Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 00:58
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P3 00:55
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P3 00:38
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
P3 00:38
Stoppage - Icing
P3 00:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Mayfield
P3 00:00
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:58
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
P2 19:58
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 19:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Logan Thompson
P2 18:42
Takeaway by Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P2 18:39
SHOT
Bo Horvat shot blocked by John Carlson
P2 18:18
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P2 18:18
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 18:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Logan Thompson
P2 18:11
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
P2 18:11
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 18:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Logan Thompson
P2 17:42
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P2 17:42
Stoppage - Icing
P2 17:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Logan Thompson
P2 17:06
SHOT
Shot missed by Tom Wilson
P2 16:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 15:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 15:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 14:43
SHOT
Anthony Duclair shot blocked by Connor McMichael
P2 14:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
P2 13:58
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
P2 13:58
GOAL
Goal scored by Tom Wilson
2-0
P2 13:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 13:42
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P2 13:41
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 13:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 13:33
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Aliaksei Protas in neutral zone
P2 13:33
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 12:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle MacLean saved by Logan Thompson
P2 12:36
Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in defensive zone
P2 12:36
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 12:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Sandin
P2 12:28
SHOT
Shot missed by John Carlson
P2 12:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Logan Thompson
P2 12:01
SHOT
John Carlson shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P2 12:00
Giveaway by Emil Heineman in defensive zone
P2 11:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 11:52
Anthony Beauvillier won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P2 11:52
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 11:33
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
P2 11:33
Stoppage - Offside
P2 11:25
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Simon Holmstrom in defensive zone
P2 11:25
Stoppage
P2 11:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Logan Thompson
P2 11:12
SHOT
Jonathan Drouin shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
P2 11:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Logan Thompson
P2 10:45
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
P2 10:45
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
P2 10:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maxim Tsyplakov saved by Logan Thompson
P2 10:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 09:36
Takeaway by Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
P2 08:45
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by John Carlson
P2 08:42
SHOT
Travis Mitchell shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P2 08:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Logan Thompson
P2 08:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Logan Thompson
P2 07:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P2 07:25
SHOT
Matt Roy shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P2 06:43
Giveaway by Maxim Tsyplakov in offensive zone
P2 06:27
Giveaway by Logan Thompson in defensive zone
P2 05:57
SHOT
Power play - Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P2 05:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Calum Ritchie saved by Logan Thompson
P2 05:10
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Max Shabanov
P2 04:18
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Max Shabanov
P2 04:02
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
P2 03:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maxim Tsyplakov saved by Logan Thompson
P2 03:47
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
P2 03:19
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P2 02:12
SHOT
Power play - Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Matt Roy
P2 01:57
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Logan Thompson
P2 01:53
SHOT
Power play - Max Shabanov shot blocked by teammate
P2 01:22
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Aliaksei Protas in offensive zone
P2 01:22
Penalty to Tom Wilson 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Bo Horvat)
P2 00:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P2 00:48
Giveaway by Connor McMichael in neutral zone
P2 00:42
Giveaway by Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
P2 00:00
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:16
Takeaway by Calum Ritchie in defensive zone
P1 19:09
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
P1 19:09
Stoppage - Offside
P1 19:00
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
P1 19:00
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 18:08
SHOT
Connor McMichael shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
P1 17:48
Giveaway by Kyle MacLean in defensive zone
P1 17:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Pelech
P1 16:51
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P1 16:51
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 16:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Tom Wilson
P1 15:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Pelech
P1 14:43
SHOT
Scott Mayfield shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
P1 14:39
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
P1 14:39
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 14:12
SHOT
Martin Fehervary shot blocked by teammate
P1 13:14
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
P1 13:14
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 13:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
P1 12:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
P1 12:26
SHOT
Anthony Duclair shot blocked by Dylan Strome
P1 10:39
Giveaway by Matthew Schaefer in defensive zone
P1 10:36
SHOT
Martin Fehervary shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P1 10:29
SHOT
Martin Fehervary shot blocked by Bo Horvat
P1 10:05
SHOT
Martin Fehervary shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P1 09:36
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P1 09:36
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 09:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Logan Thompson
P1 09:29
SHOT
Anders Lee shot blocked by teammate
P1 09:29
Takeaway by Anders Lee in offensive zone
P1 09:25
SHOT
Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Dylan Strome
P1 09:08
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
P1 09:08
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 09:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Roy
P1 09:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
P1 08:50
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P1 08:49
Stoppage - Icing
P1 08:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Logan Thompson
P1 08:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
P1 07:37
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
P1 07:37
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Tom Wilson assisted by Alex Ovechkin
1-0
P1 07:25
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P1 07:25
Penalty to Matthew Schaefer 2 minutes for Tripping
P1 07:20
Giveaway by Anthony Duclair in defensive zone
P1 07:06
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
P1 06:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Logan Thompson
P1 06:54
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
P1 06:54
Stoppage - Icing
P1 06:47
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Simon Holmstrom in defensive zone
P1 06:47
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 06:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Logan Thompson
P1 06:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P1 05:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 05:02
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
P1 05:02
Stoppage - Offside
P1 04:54
SHOT
Emil Heineman shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P1 04:09
Giveaway by Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P1 03:45
Giveaway by Tom Wilson in offensive zone
P1 03:07
Giveaway by Connor McMichael in offensive zone
P1 02:31
SHOT
Trevor van Riemsdyk shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P1 02:19
Giveaway by Ethen Frank in offensive zone
P1 01:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Logan Thompson
P1 00:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Logan Thompson
P1 00:30
Giveaway by Tony DeAngelo in defensive zone
P1 00:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 00:18
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in offensive zone
P1 00:18
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 00:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
P1 00:14
Travis Mitchell credited with hit on Ryan Leonard in defensive zone
P1 00:10
Giveaway by Ilya Sorokin in defensive zone
P1 00:00
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Capitals
 STATS
Islanders
18Shots on Goal31
41%Faceoff Win %59%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
21Hits23
13Shots Blocked14
8Giveaways18
CapitalsWSH
IslandersNYI
18Shots on Goal31
41%Faceoff Win %59%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
21Hits23
13Shots Blocked14
8Giveaways18

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Capitals vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Capitals vs. Islanders
  • Date: Sunday, November 30, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: UBS Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Capitals -130, Islanders +115

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Capitals: 54%
  • Islanders: 46%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 54%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Capitals vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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