Maple Leafs vs. Kraken Prediction, Picks & Odds
Moneyline
- Maple Leafs
- Kraken
- William Nylander38.6%
- Auston Matthews38.5%
- Kirill Marchenko28.9%
- Jack Roslovic
- Easton Cowan
- Bobby McMann34.0%
- Jordan Eberle29.4%
- Matty Beniers22.4%
- Mackie Samoskevich
- Brandon Montour
Maple Leafs vs. Kraken prediction & analysis
Game overview: NHL Wednesday
- Teams: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Seattle Kraken
- Date: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
- Puck drop: 10:00PM ET
- Venue: Climate Pledge Arena
Current betting odds
- Puck line: Maple Leafs (-1.5, +223), Kraken (+1.5, -233)
- Moneyline: Maple Leafs -111, Kraken +106
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (-115/+108)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 50.7%
- Kraken: 49.3%
Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.
It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.
Maple Leafs vs. Kraken player props & projections
Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:
- William Nylander, Maple Leafs: 39.1%
- Auston Matthews, Maple Leafs: 38.2%
- Bobby McMann, Kraken: 35.6%
- Jordan Eberle, Kraken: 27.6%
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 50.7%, while the Kraken have a win probability of 49.3%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Kraken in the NHL game at Climate Pledge Arena on Wednesday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
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