Flames vs. Oilers Prediction, Picks & Odds
Moneyline
- Flames
- Oilers
- Joel Farabee25.6%
- Aydar Suniev23.9%
- Matthew Coronato22.1%
- Morgan Frost
- Matvei Gridin
- Leon Draisaitl46.6%
- Connor McDavid40.6%
- Zach Hyman36.6%
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Evan Bouchard
Flames vs. Oilers prediction & analysis
Game overview: NHL Wednesday
- Teams: Calgary Flames vs. Edmonton Oilers
- Date: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
- Puck drop: 8:30PM ET
- Venue: Rogers Place
Current betting odds
- Puck line: Flames (+1.5, -130), Oilers (-1.5, +125)
- Moneyline: Flames +194, Oilers -199
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (-108/+102)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Flames: 35.9%
- Oilers: 64.0%
Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.
It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.
Flames vs. Oilers player props & projections
Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:
- Joel Farabee, Flames: 27.1%
- Aydar Suniev, Flames: 23.9%
- Leon Draisaitl, Oilers: 45.6%
- Connor McDavid, Oilers: 41.0%
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Flames a win probability of 35.9%, while the Oilers have a win probability of 64.0%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Oilers are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at Rogers Place on Wednesday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
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