Flyers vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks & Odds
Moneyline
- Flyers
- Capitals
- Tyson Foerster25.8%
- Matvei Michkov23.2%
- Porter Martone22.4%
- Trevor Zegras
- Oliver Bonk
- Alex Tuch32.1%
- Tom Wilson27.9%
- Alex Ovechkin25.5%
- Jakob Chychrun
- Dylan Strome
Flyers vs. Capitals prediction & analysis
Game overview: NHL Wednesday
- Teams: Philadelphia Flyers vs. Washington Capitals
- Date: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
- Puck drop: 7:30PM ET
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Current betting odds
- Puck line: Flyers (+1.5, -120), Capitals (-1.5, +116)
- Moneyline: Flyers +203, Capitals -212
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (+115/-125)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Flyers: 36.7%
- Capitals: 63.3%
Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.
It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Flyers a win probability of 36.7%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 63.3%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Flyers in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Wednesday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
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