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NHL betting insights: Analyzing this week's model performance

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Written by Nick Slade
Reviewed by Jason Bevilacqua

This report pulls data from our backend resulting dashboard to highlight where our in-house NHL model has historically excelled with a positive ROI.

NHL betting and predictive analytics data.
Betting on a very specific type of matchup has become a profitable exercise for our NHL predictive analytics model.

Welcome to another edition of the NHL Model Insight Report. Once again we used the insights to our advantage in last week's report, cashing our fourth successive Best Bet of the Night to keep this series' perfect record intact.

Each week, this report surfaces the most meaningful signals from our internal results dashboard — showing where the Dimers NHL Model has historically delivered a positive ROI — and outlining how you can apply those same profitable patterns when you visit the NHL Best Bets page this week.

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Let’s keep it rolling as we dive into this week’s numbers.

NHL 2025 season analysis:

As we move deeper into the NHL season, the growing data sample continues to reveal consistent edges in key areas — and this week’s report uncovers some particularly interesting trends.

SPOTSAMPLE SIZEROI
Moneyline bets (2 - 5% edge)75+POSITIVE
Puck line bets (2-5% edge)45+POSITIVE
Puck line favorites bets (2% edge and above)45+POSITIVE

What does all of that mean?

Importantly, there's little change week to week when it comes to the best spots to attack based on historical ROI this season, allowing us to really narrow our focus. Moneyline bets continue to deliver profits when the model identifies an edge between 2–5%, and Puck Line bets are showing similar success within that same range.

Looking closer at Puck Line performance, favorites (typically the teams listed at +1.5) are where the model has been strongest, producing a significant positive ROI across a sample of 45+ bets. These are the spots we recommend prioritizing as you browse the NHL Best Bets page throughout the week.

NHL best bet for Tuesday

With just one game on the NHL slate tonight, our model hasn’t identified a strong enough edge on Stars vs. Oilers to confidently recommend a play. Sometimes the best bet is no bet at all, and tonight’s matchup falls squarely into that category based on the current numbers.

That said, edges can develop quickly, especially as lines move throughout the day. Make sure you’re checking the NHL Best Bets page regularly throughout the week so you can capitalize the moment a profitable spot appears. The model continues to perform well across key markets, so staying on top of these updates will give you the best chance to use those insights to your advantage ✅

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Conclusion

Building on a successful start, the focus remains on leveraging the most profitable patterns identified by the Dimers NHL Model. The 2025 season analysis confirms the model's status as one of the sharpest in the industry, continuing to show positive ROI in key areas.

Users should prioritize puck line bets falling within the 2–5% edge window, a sweet spot that has proven successful whether betting early or taking advantage of closing numbers. Additionally, the model shows consistent, early strength on Home Team Moneyline bets when they also fall into that key 2–5% edge range ✅

These insights are designed to guide your weekly approach to the NHL Best Bets page, helping you apply the same profitable strategies that have been delivering strong returns. By focusing on these opportunities, you give yourself the best chance to replicate the model's success and maximize your returns on the ice this week.

Responsible gambling

Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support.

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To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Jason Bevilacqua through our fact-checking process.
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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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