May 29, 2026
NHL Playoffs player props today: Friday's best props include Alexandre Texier [5/29/2026]
Read Article Canadiens vs. Hurricanes prediction: Why Carolina is favored to win Game 5 [2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Montreal Canadiens vs Carolina Hurricanes predictions for NHL Friday.
The Carolina Hurricanes and Montreal Canadiens will meet in Game 5 of the 2026 NHL Western Conference Final at Lenovo Center on Friday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Hurricanes as the most likely winner of the Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Game 5 matchup.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Habs vs. Canes prediction: Who will win Game 5?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NHL Playoffs matchup between the Canadiens and Hurricanes, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Hurricanes a 63% chance of beating the Canadiens in Game 5 of the 2026 Western Conference Finals.
According to our model, the Canadiens (+1.5) have a 59% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 52% chance of going over.
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Game 5 odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Canadiens | Hurricanes |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-125) | -1.5 (+110) |
| Moneyline | +205 | -245 |
| Total | o5.5 (-110) | u5.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes picks and best bet for Game 5
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Canadiens +1.5 | -125 |
| Moneyline | Canadiens | +205 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | -110 |
According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Canadiens to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes player props
Who will score a goal in Canadiens vs. Hurricanes?
According to our model, Cole Caufield is most likely to score an anytime goal in Canadiens vs. Hurricanes.
Our projections give Caufield a 30.7% chance of scoring a goal at Lenovo Center, while the star is a 6.0% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 30.7% |
| Alex Newhook | 27.1% |
| Nick Suzuki | 26.9% |
| Ivan Demidov | 24.6% |
| Alexandre Texier | 22.9% |
Carolina Hurricanes
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 30.6% |
| Logan Stankoven | 30.1% |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 27.9% |
| Sebastian Aho | 27.6% |
| Seth Jarvis | 27.5% |
First goal scorer predictions
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 6.0% |
| Alex Newhook | 5.2% |
| Nick Suzuki | 5.1% |
| Ivan Demidov | 4.7% |
| Alexandre Texier | 4.3% |
Carolina Hurricanes
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 5.8% |
| Logan Stankoven | 5.7% |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 5.5% |
| Seth Jarvis | 5.3% |
| Sebastian Aho | 5.0% |
Habs vs. Canes Game 5 updates and essential details
Friday's Game 5 between the Hurricanes and Canadiens in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Montreal Canadiens vs. Carolina Hurricanes
- Date: Friday, May 29, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Lenovo Center
The winner of the NHL Western Conference Final will progress to the Stanley Cup Final. ** Game 5** of the best-of-seven series between the Canadiens and Hurricanes is at Carolina's Lenovo Center.
Conclusion
We predict the Hurricanes, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Canadiens in Game 5 of the 2026 Western Conference Finals.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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