Jun 3, 2026
Qatar vs. Switzerland prediction refreshed following 2026 World Cup squad announcements
Read Article Sweden vs. Tunisia prediction refreshed following 2026 World Cup roster releases
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get updated predictions and squad insights for the upcoming Tunisia vs Sweden FIFA World Cup game.
Following the official squad announcements for both nations, our experts have calculated the updated win probabilities and betting picks for the Group F matchup between Tunisia and Sweden at Estadio BBVA on Sunday, June 14.
Dimers Pro users have access to the latest analysis below, where we build on our early Tunisia-Sweden predictions to detail the latest projections and best bets, and have a complete look at the official squads for both nations.
Official World Cup squads: Sweden and Tunisia
Here are the confirmed rosters for both teams heading into the 2026 World Cup:
Sweden
Goalkeepers: Viktor Johansson (Stoke City), Kristoffer Nordfeldt (AIK), Jacob Widell Zetterstrom (Derby County)
Defenders: Hjalmar Ekdal (Burnley), Gabriel Gudmundsson (Leeds United), Isak Hien (Atalanta), Emil Holm (Juventus), Gustaf Lagerbielke (Braga), Victor Lindelöf (Aston Villa), Erik Smith (St. Pauli), Carl Starfelt (Celta Vigo), Elliot Stroud (Mjallby), Daniel Svensson (Borussia Dortmund)
Midfielders: Taha Ali (Malmo), Yasin Ayari (Brighton), Lucas Bergvall (Tottenham), Jesper Karlström (Udinese), Ken Sema (Pafos), Mattias Svanberg (Wolfsburg), Besfort Zeneli (Union St-Gilloise)
Forwards: Alexander Bernhardsson (Holstein Kiel), Anthony Elanga (Newcastle United), Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal), Alexander Isak (Liverpool), Gustaf Nilsson (Club Brugge), Benjamin Nygren (Celtic)
Manager: Graham Potter
Tunisia
Goalkeepers: Aymen Dahmen (CS Sfaxien), Sabri Ben Hessen (Étoile du Sahel), Abdelmouhib Chamakh (Club Africain)
Defenders: Montassar Talbi (Lorient), Dylan Bronn (Servette), Omar Rekik (Maribor), Yan Valery (Young Boys), Ali Abdi (Nice), Moutaz Neffati (IFK Norrköping), Raed Chikhaoui (US Monastir), Adam Arous (Kasımpaşa), Mohamed Amine Ben Hamida (Espérance de Tunis)
Midfielders: Ellyes Skhiri (Eintracht Frankfurt), Hannibal Mejbri (Burnley), Anis Ben Slimane (Norwich City), Hadj Mahmoud (Lugano), Rani Khedira (Union Berlin), Mortadha Ben Ouanes (Kasımpaşa)
Forwards: Elias Achouri (Copenhagen), Ismaël Gharbi (Augsburg), Elias Saad (Hannover 96), Sebastian Tounekti (Celtic), Firas Chaouat (Club Africain), Khalil Ayari (Paris Saint-Germain), Hazem Mastouri (Dynamo Makhachkala), Rayan Elloumi (Vancouver Whitecaps), Elias Saad (Hannover 96)
Manager: Sabri Lamouchi
Updated Sweden vs. Tunisia predictions and picks including +330 play
Leveraging our latest data and the above roster updates, we have re-run the calculations for this matchup. Here are the latest predictions:
- Win probabilities: Sweden 49.5%, Tunisia 24.8%, Draw 25.8%
- Both teams to score: Yes 49.3%, No 50.7%
- Total goals (2.5): Over 46.0%, Under 54.0%
- Win to nil: Sweden 28.9%, Tunisia 13.8%
- Double chance (win or draw): Sweden 75.2%, Tunisia 50.5%
- Most likely final score: 1-0 Sweden win (12.3%)
These projections represent the highest probability outcomes based on the confirmed team sheets for Sweden and Tunisia.
Sweden vs. Tunisia picks and best bet
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tunisia | +330 |
| Total | Over 2.5 | +130 |
We'll be providing 2026 World Cup best bets all tournament long, with the early edge here being on Over 2.5 total goals.
Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge on Tunisia's odds provides the best long-term value right now.
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Tunisia vs. Sweden World Cup details
The FIFA World Cup matchup between Sweden and Tunisia is scheduled for June 14, 2026, with the two teams kicking off their campaigns in what is set to be the most-viewed World Cup ever.
- Teams: Sweden vs. Tunisia
- Tournament stage: Group F
- Date: Sunday, June 14, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio BBVA
- More previews: Latest World Cup news
Conclusion: Sweden vs. Tunisia prediction
Our World Cup predictions for this matchup suggest that Sweden to win is the most likely outcome, followed by a draw, with Tunisia to win as the least likely result.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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