France vs. England prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Third-Place Playoff]

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's World Cup 2026 game between France and England, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 50.1% chance of France winning, a 27.3% chance for England, and a 22.7% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 3.5 goals has a 60.8% chance of staying under, with a 61.8% likelihood that both teams find the net. In the win to nil market, France holds a 22.6% probability to win without conceding, with England given a 11.4% chance.

For bettors looking to cover multiple outcomes, the most likely double chance result is a win for either France or England at 77.3%.

Keep in mind that soccer markets are settled at the end of 90 minutes. Unlike NBA betting where overtime counts, extra time won't factor into these odds unless explicitly noted.

England vs. France odds

We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

France	England	Draw
-117	+335	+326

Total Goals

Over 3.5	Under 3.5
+120	-122

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

France vs. England picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: England @ +335 via Novig
• Total Goals: Under 3.5 @ -122 via Novig
• Win to Nil: England @ +725 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: England or Draw @ +100 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: No @ +182 via FanDuel

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 3.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

France vs. England: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
France 1-1 England	10.2%
France 2-1 England	9.5%
France 1-0 England	7.8%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 61.8% chance of both France and England finding the net and a 38.2% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

France vs. England player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Saturday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in France-England:

France

• Kylian Mbappe: 45.0% probability
• Ousmane Dembele: 27.5% probability
• Bradley Barcola: 20.2% probability
• Rayan Cherki: 19.6% probability
• Warren Zaire-Emery: 10.1% probability

England

• Harry Kane: 30.4% probability
• Marcus Rashford: 15.1% probability
• Morgan Rogers: 12.6% probability
• Noni Madueke: 12.4% probability
• Eberechi Eze: 12.1% probability

France vs. England game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's soccer World Cup game between France and England at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:00 PM ET.

• Who: France vs. England
• Date: Saturday, July 18, 2026
• Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

DraftKings promo for France vs. England

If you're looking to get money down on France or England, we recommend DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users can bet $5 and receive $200 in bonus bets instantly.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, France has a 50.1% win probability on Saturday, England has a 27.3% win probability, and there is a 22.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.