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Tunisia vs. Sweden 2026 World Cup early prediction with win probabilities
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get early predictions for the upcoming Tunisia vs Sweden FIFA World Cup game.
Tunisia and Sweden will meet in the group stage of the 2026 World Cup at Estadio BBVA on Sunday, June 14.
This Group F fixture pairs Sweden, who have reached the semifinals on four occasions, with Tunisia, making their third straight World Cup appearance.
With 54 days until kickoff, Dimers’ trusted soccer model currently favors Sweden to win.
For full coverage, see our interactive Sweden vs. Tunisia page and World Cup predictions hub.
Tunisia vs. Sweden early predictions
Leveraging trusted machine learning and analysis, we have simulated the Tunisia vs. Sweden game as part of our World Cup predictions coverage. Here are the latest insights:
- Win probabilities: Tunisia 24.7%, Draw 25.7%, Sweden 49.5%
- Total goals (2.5): Over 46%, Under 54%
- Both teams to score: Yes 49%, No 51%
- Most likely final score: Sweden 1-0 Tunisia (12.3%)
As of April 22, 2026, these Sweden-Tunisia figures and predictions reflect the latest data and insights available.
Tunisia vs. Sweden World Cup details
The FIFA World Cup matchup between Sweden and Tunisia is scheduled for June 14, 2026, with the two teams starting their campaigns in what is going to be the most-viewed World Cup ever.
- Teams: Sweden vs. Tunisia
- Tournament stage: Group F
- Date: Sunday, June 14, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio BBVA
- More previews: Latest World Cup news
Tunisia vs. Sweden current odds
We've researched the best betting odds across America for this Group F game, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Tunisia +333, Sweden -110, Draw +240
- Total goals: Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-160)
Odds subject to change as the game draws nearer.
Sweden vs. Tunisia picks and best bet
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tunisia | +333 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | +115 |
We will be providing 2026 World Cup best bets all tournament long, with the early edge on this game being on Tunisia to win.
Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge provided on Tunisia's odds provide the best long-term value right now.
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Sweden win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sweden 1-0 Tunisia | 12.3% |
| Sweden 1-1 Tunisia | 12.2% |
| Sweden 2-1 Tunisia | 9.3% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.3% chance of both Sweden and Tunisia finding the net and a 50.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Conclusion: Sweden vs. Tunisia prediction
Our World Cup predictions for this matchup suggest that Sweden to win is the most likely outcome, followed by a draw, with Tunisia to win as the least likely result..
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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