Maple Leafs vs. Bruins prediction: Toronto favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [11/11/2025]

The Boston Bruins will face the Toronto Maple Leafs, in what is expected to be a close NHL game, at TD Garden on Tuesday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of the Maple Leafs vs. Bruins game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including goal scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.

Maple Leafs vs. Bruins prediction: Who will win, cover the puck line?

As part of our NHL predictions coverage—of which we recently reviewed the past week of results—our NHL pre-match model has simulated the upcoming clash between the Maple Leafs and Bruins, delivering moneyline, puck line, and over/under probabilities.

According to our model, the Bruins (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

Maple Leafs vs. Bruins odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Maple Leafs	Bruins
Puck Line	-1.5 (+180)	+1.5 (-218)
Moneyline	-135	+115
Total	o6.5 (+114)	u6.5 (-130)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Maple Leafs vs. Bruins picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Bruins +1.5	-218
Moneyline	Bruins	+115
Total	Over 6.5	+114

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Bruins to win.

Maple Leafs vs. Bruins player props

Who will score a goal in Maple Leafs vs. Bruins?

According to our model, David Pastrnak is most likely to score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Bruins.

Our projections give Pastrnak a 44.9% chance of scoring a goal at TD Garden, while the star is a 9.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	43.9%
William Nylander	38.4%
John Tavares	33.4%
Matthew Knies	30.3%
Nicholas Robertson	20.5%

Boston Bruins

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
David Pastrnak	44.9%
Morgan Geekie	39.1%
Viktor Arvidsson	26.0%
Pavel Zacha	22.4%
Fraser Minten	20.6%

First goal scorer predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	8.5%
William Nylander	7.5%
John Tavares	6.3%
Matthew Knies	5.6%
Nicholas Robertson	3.9%

Boston Bruins

Player	First Goal Probability
David Pastrnak	9.8%
Morgan Geekie	7.5%
Viktor Arvidsson	4.6%
Pavel Zacha	4.4%
Fraser Minten	3.4%

Maple Leafs vs. Bruins game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's game between the Bruins and Maple Leafs at TD Garden is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Boston Bruins
• Date: Tuesday, November 11, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: TD Garden

Conclusion

We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Bruins on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Bruins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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