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Maple Leafs vs. Bruins Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Bruins NHL game on November 11, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
3
5
Nov 12, 12AM TD Garden
Nov 12, 12AM TD Garden
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Bruins | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Bruins | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
P3 19:44 Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 19:42 Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Pavel Zacha
P3 19:37 Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 19:34 Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Hampus Lindholm
P3 18:55 Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 17:59 Shot missed by David Pastrnak
P3 17:38 Shot missed by Morgan Geekie
P3 16:17 Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 15:13 Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 14:55 Power play - Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 14:29 Fraser Minten shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 14:25 Shot on goal by Morgan Geekie saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 13:30 Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 12:58 Shot missed by David Pastrnak
P3 12:36 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 12:28 Shot on goal by Mark Kastelic saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 11:31 Shot missed by Hampus Lindholm
P3 10:06 Shot on goal by Viktor Arvidsson saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 10:02 Shot on goal by Nikita Zadorov saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 09:58 Shot on goal by Pavel Zacha saved by Dennis Hildeby
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
End of 3rd Period.
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Pavel Zacha
John Tavares won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Hampus Lindholm
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
John Tavares won faceoff against Morgan Geekie in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
John Tavares won faceoff against Morgan Geekie in offensive zone
Stoppage - Visitor Timeout
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by David Pastrnak
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Geekie
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Jeremy Swayman
Shorthanded - Sean Kuraly won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Jeremy Swayman
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in offensive zone
SHOT
Fraser Minten shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Geekie saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Shot missed by David Pastrnak
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Kastelic saved by Dennis Hildeby
John Tavares won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in neutral zone
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Marat Khusnutdinov in defensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Hampus Lindholm
SHOT
Shot on goal by Viktor Arvidsson saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Zadorov saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Zacha saved by Dennis Hildeby
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by David Pastrnak
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Fraser Minten saved by Dennis Hildeby
Shorthanded - Bobby McMann credited with hit on David Pastrnak in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Steven Lorentz credited with hit on Charlie McAvoy in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - David Pastrnak shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Power play - Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
Penalty to Max Domi 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Nikita Zadorov)
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake McCabe
Alex Steeves credited with hit on Oliver Ekman-Larsson in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Jeremy Swayman
John Tavares won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Bobby McMann shot blocked by Nikita Zadorov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Jeremy Swayman
Brandon Carlo credited with hit on Fraser Minten in defensive zone
Max Domi won faceoff against Morgan Geekie in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Morgan Rielly credited with hit on Michael Eyssimont in defensive zone
SHOT
Andrew Peeke shot blocked by Philippe Myers
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Domi
John Tavares won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Power play - Hampus Lindholm shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Steeves
Shorthanded - Dakota Joshua won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Charlie McAvoy saved by Dennis Hildeby
Shorthanded - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Morgan Geekie in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Charlie McAvoy shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by David Pastrnak saved by Dennis Hildeby
Shorthanded - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in defensive zone
Penalty to Marat Khusnutdinov 2 minutes for Misconduct
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Hampus Lindholm in defensive zone
Max Domi won faceoff against Marat Khusnutdinov in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tanner Jeannot saved by Dennis Hildeby
Fraser Minten credited with hit on Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
Fraser Minten won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Alex Steeves credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in offensive zone
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Viktor Arvidsson in neutral zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Marat Khusnutdinov in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Geekie saved by Dennis Hildeby
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Morgan Geekie in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Henri Jokiharju
SHOT
Shot missed by Mark Kastelic
SHOT
Shot missed by Mark Kastelic
Dakota Joshua credited with hit on Mason Lohrei in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Bobby McMann assisted by Max Domi and Morgan Rielly
2-4
Power play - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Samuel Blais
Shorthanded - Sean Kuraly won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
Shorthanded - Mark Kastelic won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Penalty to Jeffrey Viel 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot missed by Sean Kuraly
SHOT
Hampus Lindholm shot blocked by teammate
Morgan Rielly credited with hit on Alex Steeves in defensive zone
SHOT
Samuel Blais shot blocked by teammate
Power play - Steven Lorentz won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tanner Jeannot saved by Dennis Hildeby
Shorthanded - Fraser Minten won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Jeremy Swayman
John Tavares won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Zadorov saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Tanner Jeannot
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Fraser Minten in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by David Pastrnak
Shorthanded - Bobby McMann credited with hit on Charlie McAvoy in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Pavel Zacha
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Viktor Arvidsson saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Pavel Zacha
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Charlie McAvoy saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by David Pastrnak
Power play - Morgan Geekie won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
Penalty to Dakota Joshua 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mason Lohrei saved by Dennis Hildeby
John Tavares credited with hit on Hampus Lindholm in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Domi
John Tavares won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Hampus Lindholm
John Tavares won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Philippe Myers saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Shot on goal by Samuel Blais saved by Jeremy Swayman
Alex Steeves credited with hit on Matthew Knies in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Mason Lohrei shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sean Kuraly saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Jeremy Swayman
Tanner Jeannot credited with hit on Philippe Myers in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
SHOT
Philippe Myers shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Morgan Geekie
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Marat Khusnutdinov
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jeremy Swayman
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Marat Khusnutdinov in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Hampus Lindholm shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
Marat Khusnutdinov won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Shot missed by Pavel Zacha
SHOT
Charlie McAvoy shot blocked by Bobby McMann
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mason Lohrei saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot on goal by Philippe Myers saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Max Domi won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot missed by Andrew Peeke
SHOT
Hampus Lindholm shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by David Pastrnak
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Charlie McAvoy
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Sean Kuraly saved by Dennis Hildeby
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in neutral zone
Maple Leafs replaced goalie. (Dennis Hildeby)
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Knies
John Tavares won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Mark Kastelic won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Penalty to David Pastrnak 2 minutes for Misconduct
Sean Kuraly won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Alex Steeves
1-3
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Steeves saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by David Pastrnak
SHOT
Alex Steeves shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Shot missed by Charlie McAvoy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Jeremy Swayman
Max Domi won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Alex Steeves
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Tanner Jeannot credited with hit on Matias Maccelli in neutral zone
Mark Kastelic credited with hit on Dakota Joshua in offensive zone
SHOT
Fraser Minten shot blocked by teammate
Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Viktor Arvidsson saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Steeves saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
John Tavares won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Charlie McAvoy shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Andrew Peeke
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tanner Jeannot saved by Anthony Stolarz
John Tavares won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Hampus Lindholm
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by David Pastrnak saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by David Pastrnak
Power play - Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by David Pastrnak
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Viktor Arvidsson saved by Anthony Stolarz
Power play - Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Morgan Geekie in defensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Jake McCabe 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Tanner Jeannot)
SHOT
Shorthanded - Jake McCabe shot blocked by Tanner Jeannot
Shorthanded - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Fraser Minten in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Power play - Sean Kuraly won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Pavel Zacha saved by Anthony Stolarz
Power play - Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
Penalty to Philippe Myers 2 minutes for Misconduct
John Tavares won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot on goal by Marat Khusnutdinov saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Marat Khusnutdinov saved by Anthony Stolarz
Jeffrey Viel credited with hit on Samuel Blais in neutral zone
Max Domi won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
Giveaway by Viktor Arvidsson in offensive zone
Giveaway by Matthew Knies in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by David Pastrnak
SHOT
Shot missed by Charlie McAvoy
Marat Khusnutdinov won faceoff against Auston Matthews
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 33 | Shots on Goal | 32 | |||
| 60% | Faceoff Win % | 40% | |||
| 5/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 6/3 | |||
| 16 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 14 | |||
| 30 | Hits | 20 | |||
| 15 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 7 |
| |
|---|
| 33 | Shots on Goal | 32 | |||
| 60% | Faceoff Win % | 40% | |||
| 5/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 6/3 | |||
| 16 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 14 | |||
| 30 | Hits | 20 | |||
| 15 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 7 |
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Maple Leafs vs. Bruins: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Bruins
- Date: Tuesday, November 11, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: TD Garden
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -135, Bruins +118
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 54%
- Bruins: 46%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 54%, while the Bruins have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Bruins in the NHL game at TD Garden on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Maple Leafs vs. Bruins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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