Stars vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Stars vs. Senators NHL game on November 11, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Stars
3
2
Canadian Tire Centre
Senators
Canadian Tire Centre
TEAM123OTT
Stars
0 1 1 1 3
Senators
2 0 0 0 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Stars
    100%
  • Senators
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Stars
0 1 1 1 3
Senators
2 0 0 0 2
OT1 03:01 Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Linus Ullmark
OT1 02:59 Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Shane Pinto
OT1 02:58 Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Shane Pinto
OT1 02:25 Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
OT1 02:13 Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Linus Ullmark
OT1 02:03 Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
OT1 01:36 Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Jake Oettinger
OT1 01:26 Shot on goal by Tyler Seguin saved by Linus Ullmark
OT1 01:03 Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Linus Ullmark
OT1 00:33 Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
OT1 00:08 Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
P3 18:33 Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by teammate
P3 17:58 Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 17:53 Shane Pinto shot blocked by Esa Lindell
P3 17:45 Shot on goal by Oskar Back saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 16:07 Shot on goal by Sam Steel saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 15:32 Shot missed by Jordan Spence
P3 14:44 Shot missed by Drake Batherson
P3 11:16 Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 10:41 Thomas Harley shot blocked by teammate
Play by Play
  1. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 03:04
    Stars won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  3. OT1 03:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Linus Ullmark
  4. OT1 02:59
    SHOT
    Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Shane Pinto
  5. OT1 02:58
    SHOT
    Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Shane Pinto
  6. OT1 02:27
    Stars won faceoff against Senators in offensive zone
  7. OT1 02:27
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  8. OT1 02:25
    SHOT
    Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
  9. OT1 02:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Linus Ullmark
  10. OT1 02:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
  11. OT1 01:39
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  12. OT1 01:39
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  13. OT1 01:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Jake Oettinger
  14. OT1 01:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Seguin saved by Linus Ullmark
  15. OT1 01:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Linus Ullmark
  16. OT1 00:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
  17. OT1 00:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
  18. OT1 00:00
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  19. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  20. P3 19:14
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in neutral zone
  21. P3 18:33
    SHOT
    Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by teammate
  22. P3 18:25
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  23. P3 18:25
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  24. P3 18:13
    Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
  25. P3 18:13
    Stoppage - Icing
  26. P3 18:01
    Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
  27. P3 18:01
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  28. P3 17:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Jake Oettinger
  29. P3 17:53
    SHOT
    Shane Pinto shot blocked by Esa Lindell
  30. P3 17:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oskar Back saved by Linus Ullmark
  31. P3 16:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Steel saved by Linus Ullmark
  32. P3 15:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jordan Spence
  33. P3 15:11
    Lian Bichsel credited with hit on David Perron in defensive zone
  34. P3 14:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Drake Batherson
  35. P3 13:07
    Power play - Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
  36. P3 13:07
    Stoppage - Offside
  37. P3 12:10
    Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
  38. P3 12:10
    Penalty to Ridly Greig 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Lian Bichsel)
  39. P3 12:10
    Stoppage - Offside - Player Injury
  40. P3 11:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Linus Ullmark
  41. P3 10:59
    Jason Robertson credited with hit on Artem Zub in offensive zone
  42. P3 10:41
    SHOT
    Thomas Harley shot blocked by teammate
  43. P3 10:39
    Mikko Rantanen won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  44. P3 10:39
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  45. P3 10:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Linus Ullmark
  46. P3 10:19
    SHOT
    Tyler Kleven shot blocked by teammate
  47. P3 09:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tyler Seguin
  48. P3 09:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Linus Ullmark
  49. P3 09:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Esa Lindell
  50. P3 09:21
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  51. P3 09:21
    Stoppage - Icing
  52. P3 09:01
    Nick Cousins won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in defensive zone
  53. P3 09:01
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  54. P3 08:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Linus Ullmark
  55. P3 08:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Linus Ullmark
  56. P3 08:24
    SHOT
    Drake Batherson shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
  57. P3 08:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Jake Oettinger
  58. P3 08:00
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in neutral zone
  59. P3 08:00
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Jason Robertson assisted by Mikko Rantanen
    2-2
  60. P3 07:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jason Robertson
  61. P3 07:29
    SHOT
    Power play - Jason Robertson shot blocked by Lars Eller
  62. P3 07:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Linus Ullmark
  63. P3 07:12
    Power play - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  64. P3 07:12
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
  65. P3 07:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mikko Rantanen saved by Linus Ullmark
  66. P3 06:43
    Power play - Roope Hintz won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
  67. P3 06:43
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  68. P3 06:43
    Penalty to Ridly Greig 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Lian Bichsel)
  69. P3 06:28
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  70. P3 06:28
    Stoppage - Icing
  71. P3 05:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Esa Lindell
  72. P3 05:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Stars saved by Linus Ullmark
  73. P3 05:44
    SHOT
    Alexander Petrovic shot blocked by teammate
  74. P3 05:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Linus Ullmark
  75. P3 05:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Linus Ullmark
  76. P3 05:33
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  77. P3 05:33
    Stoppage - Icing
  78. P3 04:58
    Stars won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  79. P3 04:58
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  80. P3 03:24
    SHOT
    Ridly Greig shot blocked by Justin Hryckowian
  81. P3 02:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Radek Faksa saved by Linus Ullmark
  82. P3 01:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Jake Oettinger
  83. P3 01:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Jake Oettinger
  84. P3 01:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Drake Batherson
  85. P3 01:13
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in neutral zone
  86. P3 01:13
    Stoppage
  87. P3 00:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Linus Ullmark
  88. P3 00:54
    SHOT
    Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by teammate
  89. P3 00:00
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in neutral zone
  90. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  91. P2 19:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Esa Lindell
  92. P2 19:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tyler Seguin
  93. P2 19:09
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Roope Hintz in neutral zone
  94. P2 19:09
    Stoppage - Offside
  95. P2 18:31
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Radek Faksa in offensive zone
  96. P2 18:31
    Stoppage - Icing
  97. P2 18:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Linus Ullmark
  98. P2 18:11
    Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  99. P2 18:11
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  100. P2 18:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Linus Ullmark
  101. P2 17:31
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  102. P2 17:31
    Stoppage - Icing
  103. P2 17:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lian Bichsel
  104. P2 17:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tyler Seguin
  105. P2 16:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Jake Oettinger
  106. P2 16:22
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
  107. P2 16:22
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Mikko Rantanen assisted by Jason Robertson
    1-2
  108. P2 15:29
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Mikko Rantanen in defensive zone
  109. P2 15:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mikko Rantanen saved by Linus Ullmark
  110. P2 13:30
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Adam Erne in offensive zone
  111. P2 13:30
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  112. P2 13:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Jake Oettinger
  113. P2 12:50
    SHOT
    Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
  114. P2 12:09
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Roope Hintz in neutral zone
  115. P2 12:09
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  116. P2 11:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Amadio
  117. P2 11:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Jake Oettinger
  118. P2 11:08
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in offensive zone
  119. P2 11:08
    Stoppage - Icing
  120. P2 10:45
    Roope Hintz credited with hit on Nick Jensen in neutral zone
  121. P2 10:25
    Drake Batherson credited with hit on Esa Lindell in offensive zone
  122. P2 10:22
    Tyler Seguin won faceoff against David Perron in defensive zone
  123. P2 10:22
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  124. P2 10:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Jake Oettinger
  125. P2 09:41
    Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
  126. P2 09:05
    SHOT
    Alexander Petrovic shot blocked by Nick Cousins
  127. P2 08:27
    SHOT
    Roope Hintz shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
  128. P2 07:54
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  129. P2 07:54
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  130. P2 07:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexander Petrovic saved by Linus Ullmark
  131. P2 07:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Jake Oettinger
  132. P2 06:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Jake Oettinger
  133. P2 06:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
  134. P2 05:31
    Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Oskar Back in offensive zone
  135. P2 04:14
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Sam Steel in defensive zone
  136. P2 04:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  137. P2 04:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Linus Ullmark
  138. P2 02:57
    SHOT
    Tyler Kleven shot blocked by teammate
  139. P2 02:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Stars
  140. P2 01:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Jensen
  141. P2 01:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Jake Oettinger
  142. P2 00:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Jake Oettinger
  143. P2 00:46
    Sam Steel won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  144. P2 00:46
    Stoppage - Icing
  145. P2 00:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Linus Ullmark
  146. P2 00:23
    Mikko Rantanen won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
  147. P2 00:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  148. P2 00:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Linus Ullmark
  149. P2 00:00
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
  150. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  151. P1 18:33
    Jason Robertson credited with hit on Artem Zub in neutral zone
  152. P1 18:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Jake Oettinger
  153. P1 17:56
    Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  154. P1 17:56
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  155. P1 17:54
    SHOT
    Artem Zub shot blocked by Mikko Rantanen
  156. P1 17:05
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Linus Ullmark
  157. P1 17:03
    Shorthanded - Roope Hintz won faceoff against Shane Pinto in defensive zone
  158. P1 17:03
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  159. P1 17:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jordan Spence
  160. P1 16:55
    SHOT
    Power play - David Perron shot blocked by Thomas Harley
  161. P1 15:32
    Power play - Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
  162. P1 15:32
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  163. P1 15:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Oskar Back
  164. P1 15:12
    Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Oskar Back in offensive zone
  165. P1 15:12
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  166. P1 15:12
    Penalty to Lian Bichsel 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Tim Stutzle)
  167. P1 15:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Jake Oettinger
  168. P1 14:18
    SHOT
    Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Adam Erne
  169. P1 14:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Jake Oettinger
  170. P1 13:51
    SHOT
    Nick Cousins shot blocked by Justin Hryckowian
  171. P1 13:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Jake Oettinger
  172. P1 13:07
    Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
  173. P1 13:07
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  174. P1 12:49
    Power play - Giveaway by Mikko Rantanen in offensive zone
  175. P1 12:38
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Linus Ullmark
  176. P1 11:57
    Power play - Roope Hintz won faceoff against Shane Pinto in defensive zone
  177. P1 11:57
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  178. P1 11:50
    Shorthanded - Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Roope Hintz in neutral zone
  179. P1 11:50
    Stoppage - Offside
  180. P1 11:15
    Shorthanded - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Mikko Rantanen in defensive zone
  181. P1 11:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  182. P1 11:14
    SHOT
    Power play - Jason Robertson shot blocked by teammate
  183. P1 11:14
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Linus Ullmark
  184. P1 10:55
    Power play - Roope Hintz won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  185. P1 10:55
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  186. P1 10:55
    Penalty to Drake Batherson 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Miro Heiskanen)
  187. P1 10:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Erne
  188. P1 10:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Linus Ullmark
  189. P1 09:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ridly Greig
  190. P1 09:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
  191. P1 08:53
    Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
  192. P1 08:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Jake Oettinger
  193. P1 08:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Jake Oettinger
  194. P1 08:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
  195. P1 08:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Jake Oettinger
  196. P1 07:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Steel saved by Linus Ullmark
  197. P1 07:18
    SHOT
    Esa Lindell shot blocked by Ridly Greig
  198. P1 07:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Miro Heiskanen
  199. P1 07:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Miro Heiskanen
  200. P1 06:34
    SHOT
    Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Thomas Harley
  201. P1 05:48
    SHOT
    Thomas Harley shot blocked by Jordan Spence
  202. P1 05:40
    SHOT
    Ilya Lyubushkin shot blocked by Tim Stutzle
  203. P1 05:21
    SHOT
    David Perron shot blocked by Esa Lindell
  204. P1 04:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Jake Oettinger
  205. P1 03:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ridly Greig
  206. P1 03:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Jake Oettinger
  207. P1 01:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Jake Oettinger
  208. P1 01:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Jake Oettinger
  209. P1 00:49
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
  210. P1 00:49
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Drake Batherson assisted by Jake Sanderson
    0-1
  211. P1 00:11
    Tyler Seguin credited with hit on Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  212. P1 00:11
    Giveaway by Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  213. P1 00:00
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in neutral zone
  214. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Stars
STATS
Senators
33Shots on Goal29
53% Faceoff Win % 47%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
24Hits15
10 Shots Blocked 13
16Giveaways11
StarsDAL
SenatorsOTT
33Shots on Goal29
53% Faceoff Win % 47%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
24Hits15
10 Shots Blocked 13
16Giveaways11

Stars vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Stars vs. Senators
  • Date: Tuesday, November 11, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Stars +105, Senators -115

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Stars: 49%
  • Senators: 51%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Stars a win probability of 49%, while the Senators have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Stars in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Stars vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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