Blue Jays vs. Yankees prediction: Yankees favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [5/18/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees predictions for MLB Monday.

Toronto Blue Jays-New York Yankees Predictions and Game Preview.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees MLB prediction for Monday, May 18, 2026.

The New York Yankees will square off with the Toronto Blue Jays in MLB action at Yankee Stadium on Monday, starting at 7:05 PM ET.

Ryan Weathers (2-2, 3.00 ERA) will start for the Yankees, while the Blue Jays are going with Patrick Corbin (1-1, 3.93 ERA).

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Yankees as the most likely winner of the Blue Jays vs. Yankees game.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's MLB matchup between the Blue Jays and Yankees, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Yankees a 59% chance of beating the Blue Jays.

According to our model, the Blue Jays (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the run line, while the 9-run over/under has a 52% chance of going over.

 

Blue Jays vs. Yankees odds [5/18/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Blue Jays Yankees
Run Line +1.5 (-130) -1.5 (+125)
Moneyline +150 -170
Total o9 (-103) u9 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Blue Jays +1.5 -130
Moneyline Blue Jays +150
Total Over 9 -103

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Blue Jays vs. Yankees game-day updates and essential details

Monday's MLB action between the Yankees and Blue Jays at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:05 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Yankees, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Blue Jays in Monday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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