Tommy Paul vs. Alex de Minaur Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Italian Open 2025

Tommy Paul will square off with Alex de Minaur in the round of 16 at the ATP Rome event on Tuesday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Alex de Minaur as the most likely winner of the match.

"We have analyzed the latest data and conducted 10,000 simulations for Tuesday's Paul-de Minaur match," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"By incorporating recent updates and various factors, our prediction shows Alex de Minaur with a win probability of 58%, compared to 42% for Tommy Paul."

For further insights into Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Paul vs. de Minaur predictions page.

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Paul vs. de Minaur Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Quarterfinals?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's Paul-de Minaur men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives de Minaur a 58% chance of winning against Paul at the ATP Italian Open tournament.

Additionally, de Minaur has a 56% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

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Tommy Paul vs. Alex de Minaur Odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Paul vs. de Minaur Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Paul vs. de Minaur match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every match throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Paul vs. de Minaur Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Italian Open match between Tommy Paul and Alex de Minaur is scheduled to start on Tuesday at 3:50PM ET.

• Who: Tommy Paul vs. Alex de Minaur
• Date: Tuesday, May 13, 2025
• Approx. Time: 3:50PM ET/12:50PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Tuesday's Paul vs. de Minaur match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Tommy Paul vs. Alex de Minaur picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict Alex de Minaur, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat Tommy Paul at the ATP Italian Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Paul vs. de Minaur insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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