Lightning vs. Rangers prediction: Rangers favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [11/29/2025]

The NY Rangers and Tampa Bay Lightning are scheduled to meet in the NHL at Madison Square Garden on Saturday, starting at 2:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Rangers a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Lightning.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's Lightning vs. Rangers matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Lightning vs. Rangers prediction: Who will win and cover?

As part of Dimers' NHL predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, puck line, and over/under probabilities for Saturday's clash between the Lightning and Rangers.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Rangers a 51% chance of defeating the Lightning.

According to our model, the Lightning (+1.5) have a 70% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 55% chance of staying under.

Lightning vs. Rangers odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Lightning	Rangers
Puck Line	+1.5 (-225)	-1.5 (+195)
Moneyline	+105	-125
Total	o6.5 (+108)	u6.5 (-125)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Lightning vs. Rangers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Lightning +1.5	-225
Moneyline	Lightning	+105
Total	Under 6.5	-125

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Lightning +1.5 at the spread.

Lightning vs. Rangers player props

Who will score a goal in Lightning vs. Rangers?

According to our model, Jake Guentzel is most likely to score an anytime goal in Lightning vs. Rangers.

Our projections give Guentzel a 39.8% chance of scoring a goal at Madison Square Garden, while the star is an 8.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Jake Guentzel	39.8%
Nikita Kucherov	36.0%
Brandon Hagel	33.4%
Anthony Cirelli	26.2%
Nick Paul	22.2%

NY Rangers

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Artemi Panarin	34.5%
J.T. Miller	28.1%
Vincent Trocheck	26.6%
Mika Zibanejad	25.7%
Will Cuylle	22.9%

First goal scorer predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	First Goal Probability
Jake Guentzel	8.8%
Nikita Kucherov	7.5%
Brandon Hagel	6.1%
Anthony Cirelli	4.9%
Nick Paul	3.7%

NY Rangers

Player	First Goal Probability
Artemi Panarin	7.6%
J.T. Miller	5.7%
Vincent Trocheck	5.4%
Will Cuylle	4.4%
Mika Zibanejad	4.4%

Lightning vs. Rangers game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's matchup between the Rangers and Lightning at Madison Square Garden is scheduled to commence at 2:00PM ET.

• Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. NY Rangers
• Date: Saturday, November 29, 2025
• Time: 2:00PM ET/11:00AM PT
• Venue: Madison Square Garden

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Conclusion

We predict the Rangers, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Lightning on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lightning vs. Rangers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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