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Lightning vs. Rangers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Rangers NHL game on November 29, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
4
1
Nov 29, 7PM Madison Square Garden
Nov 29, 7PM Madison Square Garden
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Rangers | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Rangers | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
P3 19:42 Goal scored by Jake Guentzel assisted by Yanni Gourde (Empty Net)
P3 19:27 Shot missed by Mika Zibanejad
P3 19:19 Shot missed by Vincent Trocheck
P3 19:05 Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P3 19:02 Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 18:56 Shot missed by Vincent Trocheck
P3 18:17 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 18:08 Alexis Lafreniere shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
P3 17:59 Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 17:55 Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
P3 17:35 Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
P3 15:20 Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 14:50 Shot missed by Noah Laba
P3 13:59 Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 13:50 Power play - Shot missed by J.T. Miller
P3 13:33 Power play - Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 12:20 Power play - Shot missed by J.T. Miller
P3 12:19 Power play - Shot missed by Artemi Panarin
P3 12:16 Power play - Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P3 11:53 Braden Schneider shot blocked by Nick Paul
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Sam Carrick won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Jake Guentzel assisted by Yanni Gourde (Empty Net)
4-1
SHOT
Shot missed by Mika Zibanejad
SHOT
Shot missed by Vincent Trocheck
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot missed by Vincent Trocheck
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Alexis Lafreniere shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
SHOT
Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Nick Paul won faceoff against J.T. Miller in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Laba
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by J.T. Miller
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Jonas Johansson
Power play - Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Power play - Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by J.T. Miller
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Artemi Panarin
SHOT
Power play - Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
Power play - J.T. Miller won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
Penalty to Gage Goncalves 2 minutes for Holding Stick (Drawn by Taylor Raddysh)
SHOT
Braden Schneider shot blocked by Nick Paul
SHOT
Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Nick Paul
SHOT
Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Matthew Robertson
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Carson Soucy
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Brett Berard
Dominic James won faceoff against Noah Laba in neutral zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Stoppage - Player Injury
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Jonny Brodzinski
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Will Borgen shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
SHOT
Shot missed by Carson Soucy
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Vladislav Gavrikov in offensive zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against J.T. Miller in defensive zone
Stoppage - High Stick
SHOT
Brett Berard shot blocked by Steven Santini
SHOT
Vincent Trocheck shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Igor Shesterkin
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Nick Paul assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Charle-Edouard D'Astous
3-1
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
Shorthanded - Noah Laba won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Igor Shesterkin
Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Igor Shesterkin
Shorthanded - Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Igor Shesterkin
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Shot missed by Artemi Panarin
SHOT
Carson Soucy shot blocked by teammate
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Adam Fox
2-1
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Sam Carrick won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Igor Shesterkin
Giveaway by Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Igor Shesterkin
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Igor Shesterkin
Nick Paul won faceoff against J.T. Miller in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Edstrom saved by Jonas Johansson
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Noah Laba in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carson Soucy saved by Jonas Johansson
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Fox
SHOT
Adam Fox shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Shot missed by J.T. Miller
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Fox saved by Jonas Johansson
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Carson Soucy
SHOT
Will Cuylle shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Matthew Robertson
SHOT
Shot missed by Dominic James
Curtis Douglas credited with hit on Vladislav Gavrikov in offensive zone
Curtis Douglas won faceoff against Noah Laba in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
GOAL
Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Darren Raddysh
2-0
Nick Paul won faceoff against Taylor Raddysh in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Igor Shesterkin
Alexis Lafreniere credited with hit on J.J. Moser in offensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vincent Trocheck saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vincent Trocheck saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Vladislav Gavrikov
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Vincent Trocheck
SHOT
Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Declan Carlile
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in offensive zone
Penalty to Matthew Robertson 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Dominic James)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Shot missed by Braden Schneider
Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
SHOT
Steven Santini shot blocked by Brett Berard
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Carson Soucy
SHOT
Steven Santini shot blocked by Will Borgen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Carson Soucy
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Fox
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
SHOT
Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Vladislav Gavrikov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artemi Panarin saved by Jonas Johansson
Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Igor Shesterkin
Giveaway by Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
Noah Laba won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Power play - Adam Fox shot blocked by teammate
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Artemi Panarin shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Adam Fox
Power play - Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
Power play - J.T. Miller won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Penalty to Charle-Edouard D'Astous 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Artemi Panarin)
SHOT
Braden Schneider shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Taylor Raddysh
Giveaway by J.T. Miller in offensive zone
Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
SHOT
Alexis Lafreniere shot blocked by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Mika Zibanejad shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
Noah Laba won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Will Cuylle
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Steven Santini shot blocked by Brett Berard
Dominic James won faceoff against Jonny Brodzinski in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Darren Raddysh and Nikita Kucherov
1-0
Takeaway by Mika Zibanejad in offensive zone
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by teammate
Will Cuylle won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carson Soucy saved by Jonas Johansson
Takeaway by Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Vladislav Gavrikov
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Robertson
Noah Laba won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Igor Shesterkin
Noah Laba won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Declan Carlile shot blocked by Taylor Raddysh
Dominic James won faceoff against Sam Carrick in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Igor Shesterkin
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Noah Laba
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Will Borgen
SHOT
Steven Santini shot blocked by Will Borgen
Alexis Lafreniere credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
SHOT
Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Carson Soucy
Noah Laba won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 35 | Shots on Goal | 13 | |||
| 35% | Faceoff Win % | 65% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 16 | Hits | 24 | |||
| 20 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 19 | Giveaways | 13 |
| |
|---|
| 35 | Shots on Goal | 13 | |||
| 35% | Faceoff Win % | 65% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 16 | Hits | 24 | |||
| 20 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 19 | Giveaways | 13 |
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Lightning vs. Rangers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lightning vs. Rangers
- Date: Saturday, November 29, 2025
- Time: 2:00 PM ET
- Venue: Madison Square Garden
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Rangers favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Lightning +112, Rangers -125
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lightning: 49%
- Rangers: 51%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 49%, while the Rangers have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Rangers are more likely to beat the Lightning in the NHL game at Madison Square Garden on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lightning vs. Rangers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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