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Buccaneers vs. Rams prediction: Rams favored to win SNF Week 12, 2025

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Los Angeles Rams predictions for NFL Sunday.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Los Angeles Rams Predictions and Game Preview.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Los Angeles Rams NFL prediction for Sunday, November 23, 2025.

NFL Week 12 action continues on Sunday at 8:20PM ET as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers face off with the favored Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model projects the Rams as the most likely winner of the Buccaneers vs. Rams game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Bucs vs. Rams prediction: Who will win and cover?

Since our Buccaneers-Rams predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Buccaneers and Rams 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Rams a 73% chance of beating the Buccaneers in Week 12 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Rams winning 28-21.

According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Buccaneers and Rams each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 49.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 12 straight up picks.

Buccaneers vs. Rams odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Buccaneers Rams
Spread +7.5 (-120) -7.5 (-102)
Moneyline +300 -360
Total o49.5 (-118) u49.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Buccaneers vs. Rams picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Rams -7.5 -102
Moneyline Buccaneers +300
Total Under 49.5 +100

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Buccaneers to win.

 

Buccaneers vs. Rams TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Buccaneers vs. Rams?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Kyren Williams is most likely to score an anytime TD in Buccaneers vs. Rams.

Our projections give Williams a 54.4% chance of getting in for six at SoFi Stadium, while the running back is a 13.4% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Player Anytime TD Probability
Sean Tucker (RB) 48.6%
Emeka Egbuka (WR) 40.6%
Rachaad White (RB) 34.8%
Tez Johnson (WR) 25.1%
Chris Godwin (WR) 23.3%

Los Angeles Rams

Player Anytime TD Probability
Kyren Williams (RB) 54.4%
Davante Adams (WR) 53.5%
Puka Nacua (WR) 38.9%
Blake Corum (RB) 32.1%
Colby Parkinson (TE) 18.5%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Player First TD Probability
Sean Tucker (RB) 9.9%
Emeka Egbuka (WR) 7.7%
Rachaad White (RB) 6.3%
Tez Johnson (WR) 4.3%
Chris Godwin (WR) 3.9%

Los Angeles Rams

Player First TD Probability
Kyren Williams (RB) 13.4%
Davante Adams (WR) 13.1%
Puka Nacua (WR) 8.4%
Blake Corum (RB) 6.6%
Colby Parkinson (TE) 3.5%

Buccaneers vs Rams player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Buccaneers and Rams. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 12 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Buccaneers' Baker Mayfield is projected for 246 passing yards. The Rams' Matthew Stafford is expected to throw for a whopping 273 yards.

Player Proj. Pass Yards
Baker Mayfield (TB) 246
Matthew Stafford (LA) 273

Buccaneers rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
Sean Tucker 52
Rachaad White 31
Baker Mayfield 19

Rams rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
Kyren Williams 63
Blake Corum 34
Puka Nacua 4

Buccaneers receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
Emeka Egbuka 72
Cade Otton 40
Tez Johnson 37
Chris Godwin 35
Sterling Shepard 24

Rams receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
Puka Nacua 92
Davante Adams 69
Terrance Ferguson 31
Colby Parkinson 24
Jordan Whittington 19

Bucs vs. Rams game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 12 matchup between the Rams and Buccaneers at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:20PM ET.

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Conclusion

We predict the Rams, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat the Buccaneers in Week 12 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Buccaneers vs. Rams insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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