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North Melbourne Kangaroos vs. Sydney Swans prediction: Swans favored to win Friday's AFL Round 9 matchup [5/8/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Sydney Swans predictions for AFL Friday.
The North Melbourne Kangaroos will take on the favored Sydney Swans in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Marvel Stadium on Friday, beginning at 11:15 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Swans as the most likely winner of the Swans vs. Kangaroos game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Kangaroos vs. Swans prediction: Who will win Round 9 game?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's AFL game between the Swans and Kangaroos, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Swans a 71% chance of defeating the Kangaroos.
According to our model, the Kangaroos (+22.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 190.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Sydney vs. North Melbourne odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Swans | Kangaroos |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -323 | +240 |
| Line (Spread) | -22.5 (-115) | +22.5 (-115) |
| Total | o190.5 (-115) | u190.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Swans vs. Kangaroos picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kangaroos +22.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Kangaroos | +240 |
| Total | Under 190.5 | -115 |
According to our best AFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Kangaroos +22.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Kangaroos vs. Swans game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football action between the Kangaroos and Swans at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 11:15 PM ET.
- Who: Sydney Swans vs. North Melbourne Kangaroos
- Date: Friday, May 8, 2026
- Time: 11:15 PM ET/8:15PM PT
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Swans, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Kangaroos in Friday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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