Jul 16, 2025
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Read Article Essendon Bombers vs. Sydney Swans Prediction: Swans Predicted to Win Saturday's AFL Round 9 Matchup [5/10/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Essendon Bombers vs Sydney Swans matchup.
The Essendon Bombers will take on the Sydney Swans in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, starting at 2:15AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven AFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Swans as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Sydney-Essendon game," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Swans are more likely to win, while the Bombers have a lower chance of victory."
For expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Swans vs. Bombers predictions page.
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Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's AFL matchup between the Swans and Bombers 10,000 times as part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Swans a 56% chance of defeating the Bombers.
According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Swans and Bombers each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 173.5- over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 10:30AM, May 9
Moneyline
Spread
Over / Under
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Sydney vs. Essendon Odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Swans | Bombers |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -175 | +135 |
| Line (Spread) | -6.5 (-115) | +6.5 (-115) |
| Total | o173.5 (-115) | u173.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Bombers vs. Swans Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's Australian rules football game between the Bombers and Swans at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 2:15AM ET.
- Who: Sydney Swans vs. Essendon Bombers
- Date: Saturday, May 10, 2025
- Time: 2:15AM ET/11:15PM PT
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Swans vs. Bombers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Sydney vs. Essendon picks, be sure to check out the latest AFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Swans, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Bombers on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Swans vs. Bombers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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