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Port Adelaide Power vs. St Kilda Saints prediction: Why Saints are favored to win Sunday's AFL Round 5 matchup [4/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints predictions for AFL Sunday.
The Port Adelaide Power will take on the St Kilda Saints in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Adelaide Oval on Sunday, starting at 5:15 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven AFL model projects the Saints as the most likely winner of the Saints vs. Power game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Power vs. Saints prediction: Who will win Round 5 game?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's AFL matchup between the Saints and Power, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Saints a 58% chance of defeating the Power.
According to our model, the Power (+7.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 173.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
St Kilda vs. Port Adelaide odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Saints | Power |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -154 | +120 |
| Line (Spread) | -7.5 (-115) | +7.5 (-115) |
| Total | o173.5 (-115) | u173.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Saints vs. Power picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Power +7.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Saints | -154 |
| Total | Under 173.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 173.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Power vs. Saints game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Australian rules football game between the Power and Saints at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to commence at 5:15 AM ET.
- Who: St Kilda Saints vs. Port Adelaide Power
- Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
- Time: 5:15 AM ET/2:15AM PT
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Saints, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Power in Sunday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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