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Read Article Gold Coast Suns vs. St Kilda Saints prediction: Suns favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 9 matchup [5/9/2026]
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Gold Coast Suns vs St Kilda Saints predictions for AFL Saturday.
The Gold Coast Suns will face the St Kilda Saints in Australian Football League (AFL) action at TIO Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 5:10 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Suns as the most likely winner of the Saints vs. Suns game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Suns vs. Saints prediction: Who will win Round 9 game?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's AFL matchup between the Saints and Suns, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Suns a 66% chance of beating the Saints.
According to our model, the Saints (+21.5) have a 61% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 189.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
St Kilda vs. Gold Coast odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Saints | Suns |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +220 | -294 |
| Line (Spread) | +21.5 (-115) | -21.5 (-115) |
| Total | o189.5 (-115) | u189.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Saints vs. Suns picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Saints +21.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Saints | +220 |
| Total | Under 189.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Saints +21.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Suns vs. Saints game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rules football game between the Suns and Saints at TIO Stadium is scheduled to commence at 5:10 AM ET.
- Who: St Kilda Saints vs. Gold Coast Suns
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Time: 5:10 AM ET/2:10AM PT
- Venue: TIO Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Suns, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Saints in Saturday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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