Jul 3, 2026
Gold Coast Suns vs. Collingwood Magpies prediction: Suns favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 17 matchup [7/4/2026]
Read Article Essendon Bombers vs. St Kilda Saints prediction: Why Saints are favored to win Sunday's AFL Round 17 matchup [7/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Essendon Bombers vs St Kilda Saints predictions for AFL Sunday.
AFL action continues on Sunday at 1:15 AM ET as the St Kilda Saints take on the Essendon Bombers at Marvel Stadium.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Saints as the most likely winner of the Saints vs. Bombers game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Bombers vs. Saints prediction: Who will win Round 17 game?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's AFL matchup between the Saints and Bombers, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Saints an 80.5% chance of beating the Bombers.
St Kilda vs. Essendon odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Saints | Bombers |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -500 | +350 |
| Line (Spread) | -29.5 (-115) | +29.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Saints vs. Bombers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Essendon +29.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Bombers | +350 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Essendon +29.5.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Bombers vs. Saints game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Australian rules football game between the Bombers and Saints at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:15 AM ET.
- Who: St Kilda Saints vs. Essendon Bombers
- Date: Sunday, July 5, 2026
- Time: 1:15 AM ET/10:15PM PT
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Saints, with an 80.5% win probability, will likely beat the Bombers in Sunday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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