North Melbourne Kangaroos vs. Essendon Bombers prediction: Kangaroos favored to win Sunday's AFL Round 16 matchup [6/28/2026]
Get North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Essendon Bombers predictions for AFL Sunday.
The North Melbourne Kangaroos will take on the Essendon Bombers in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:15 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Kangaroos as the most likely winner of the Bombers vs. Kangaroos game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Kangaroos vs. Bombers prediction: Who will win Round 16 game?
Our leading predictive model gives the Kangaroos a 61.8% chance of defeating the Bombers.
According to our model, the Bombers (+14.5) have a 57.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 172.5 points has a 51.3% chance of staying under,.
Essendon vs. North Melbourne odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bombers | Kangaroos |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +180 | -233 |
| Line (Spread) | +14.5 (-115) | -14.5 (-115) |
| Total | o172.5 (-115) | u172.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bombers vs. Kangaroos picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bombers +14.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Bombers | +180 |
| Total | Under 172.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Bombers +14.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Kangaroos vs. Bombers game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Australian rules football action between the Kangaroos and Bombers at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:15 AM ET.
- Who: Essendon Bombers vs. North Melbourne Kangaroos
- Date: Sunday, June 28, 2026
- Time: 1:15 AM ET/10:15PM PT
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Kangaroos, with a 61.8% win probability, will likely beat the Bombers in Sunday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
