Collingwood Magpies vs. Richmond Tigers prediction: Why Magpies are favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 16 matchup [6/27/2026]
Get Collingwood Magpies vs Richmond Tigers predictions for AFL Saturday.
The Collingwood Magpies and Richmond Tigers are scheduled to meet in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 2:15 AM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Magpies as the most likely winner of the Tigers vs. Magpies game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Magpies vs. Tigers prediction: Who will win Round 16 game?
Our famous predictive model gives the Magpies an 86.4% chance of defeating the Tigers.
According to our model, the Tigers (+37.5) have a 52.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 164.5-point over/under has a 50.2% chance of going over,.
Richmond vs. Collingwood odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tigers | Magpies |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +550 | -1000 |
| Line (Spread) | +37.5 (-115) | -37.5 (-115) |
| Total | o164.5 (-115) | u164.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tigers vs. Magpies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tigers +37.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Tigers | +550 |
| Total | Over 164.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Tigers +37.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Magpies vs. Tigers game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rules football action between the Magpies and Tigers at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 2:15 AM ET.
- Who: Richmond Tigers vs. Collingwood Magpies
- Date: Saturday, June 27, 2026
- Time: 2:15 AM ET/11:15PM PT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Magpies, with an 86.4% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers in Saturday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
