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Read Article Adelaide Crows vs. St Kilda Saints prediction: Why Crows are favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 6 matchup [4/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Adelaide Crows vs St Kilda Saints predictions for AFL Saturday.
The Adelaide Crows will face the St Kilda Saints in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, starting at 5:35 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven AFL model predicts the Crows as the most likely winner of the Saints vs. Crows game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Crows vs. Saints prediction: Who will win Round 6 game?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's AFL game between the Saints and Crows, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Crows a 61% chance of beating the Saints.
According to our model, the Crows (-6.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 174.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
St Kilda vs. Adelaide odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Saints | Crows |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +120 | -154 |
| Line (Spread) | +6.5 (-115) | -6.5 (-115) |
| Total | o174.5 (-115) | u174.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Saints vs. Crows picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Crows -6.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Crows | -154 |
| Total | Under 174.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Crows to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Crows vs. Saints game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rules football action between the Crows and Saints at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to begin at 5:35 AM ET.
- Who: St Kilda Saints vs. Adelaide Crows
- Date: Saturday, April 18, 2026
- Time: 5:35 AM ET/2:35AM PT
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Crows, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Saints in Saturday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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